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Using machine learning to predict the NCAA March Madness field.
Today's scores and schedule from: TheScore
March Madness 2026 Seed Analysis
How does seeding compare to what the model projected?
Over-Seeded: Model indicates this team may not be as good as their seed.
Under-Seeded: Model indicates this team may be better than their seed.
Men: Over-Seeded
| Team | Modeled Seed | Actual Seed | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Northern Iowa
|
15 | 12 | -3 |
Kennesaw St.
|
16 | 14 | -2 |
Virginia
|
5 | 3 | -2 |
Men: Under-Seeded
| Team | Modeled Seed | Actual Seed | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
UMBC
|
12 | 16 | 4 |
LIU
|
13 | 16 | 3 |
Utah St.
|
7 | 9 | 2 |
Howard
|
14 | 16 | 2 |
St. John's
|
3 | 5 | 2 |
McNeese
|
10 | 12 | 2 |
Women: Over-Seeded
| Team | Modeled Seed | Actual Seed | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Gonzaga
|
15 | 12 | -3 |
Baylor
|
8 | 6 | -2 |
Clemson
|
10 | 8 | -2 |
Women: Under-Seeded
| Team | Modeled Seed | Actual Seed | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
|
7 | 10 | 3 |
Tennessee
|
7 | 10 | 3 |
USC
|
6 | 9 | 3 |
Maryland
|
3 | 5 | 2 |
High Point
|
13 | 15 | 2 |
Fairleigh Dickinson
|
13 | 15 | 2 |
Vermont
|
12 | 14 | 2 |
Minnesota
|
2 | 4 | 2 |
Nebraska
|
9 | 11 | 2 |