Wofford 0-0proj62
#8Tennessee 0-0proj89Tennessee -26.2 · book -24.5O/U 151 (155.5) lean under · 99%
Book Tennessee -24.5 · we project Tennessee -24.5O/U 155.5 · we project Under 155.5
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CBB Predictions
Every men's Division I game, with the book's line beside ours
Updated Tue, Nov 3 · 12:34 PM ET
Season Scorecard How this works
Season: 87% of winners called right (97 of 111)
Winners called right
87%
97 of 111 games
the book's favorite won 81% · we're ahead of it
Our projected spread
59%
65 of 111 games our pick won by more than we said
50% is the target, not a bar to clear · we underrate favorites by 2.8 points a game
Spread leans vs the book
48%
28 of 58 games where we differed from the book by 3+ points
a coin flip is 50% · we're behind it
Over/under leans
52%
25 of 48 games where we differed from the book by 3+ points
a coin flip is 50% · we're ahead of it
Games
Games
19
5 with a ranked team
Closest call
9.0 pts
Hampton at Georgia Tech
Biggest mismatch
35 pts
Arkansas over Arkansas Pine Bluff
Distance from the book
4.1 pts
average across 19 priced games
Wofford 0-0proj62#8Tennessee 0-0proj89
Manhattan 0-0proj62
#23Kentucky 0-0proj94Kentucky -32.3 · book -33.5O/U 156 (158.5) · 99%
Book Kentucky -33.5 · we project Manhattan +33.5O/U 158.5 · we project Under 158.5
Coppin St. 0-0proj61
Virginia Tech 0-0proj91Virginia Tech -30.7 · book -31.5O/U 152 (150.5) · 99%
Book Virginia Tech -31.5 · we project Coppin St. +31.5O/U 150.5 · we project Over 150.5
Drexel 0-0proj56
#9Virginia 0-0proj81Virginia -25.0 · book -31.5 lean DrexelO/U 137 (142.5) lean under · 98%
Book Virginia -31.5 · we project Drexel +31.5O/U 142.5 · we project Under 142.5
Sam Houston St. 0-0proj73
#20Alabama 0-0proj93Alabama -20.3 · book -26.5 lean Sam Houston St.O/U 166 (171.5) lean under · 96%
Book Alabama -26.5 · we project Sam Houston St. +26.5O/U 171.5 · we project Under 171.5
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0-0proj60
#12Arkansas 0-0proj96Arkansas -35.3 · book -41.5 lean Arkansas Pine BluffO/U 156 (167.5) lean under · 99%
Book Arkansas -41.5 · we project Arkansas Pine Bluff +41.5O/U 167.5 · we project Under 167.5
Cleveland St. 0-0proj66
Missouri 0-0proj91Missouri -24.8 · book -26.5O/U 157 (159.5) · 98%
Book Missouri -26.5 · we project Cleveland St. +26.5O/U 159.5 · we project Under 159.5
Alabama St. 0-0proj66
Texas A&M 0-0proj93Texas A&M -26.0 · book -32.5 lean Alabama St.O/U 159 (161.5) · 99%
Book Texas A&M -32.5 · we project Alabama St. +32.5O/U 161.5 · we project Under 161.5
Lipscomb 0-1proj63
Iowa 0-0proj82Iowa -19.8 · book -23.5 lean LipscombO/U 145 (146.5) · 96%
Book Iowa -23.5 · we project Lipscomb +23.5O/U 146.5 · we project Under 146.5
10 more games
Purdue Fort Wayne 0-0proj71
Duquesne 0-0proj82Duquesne -11.7 · book -9.5O/U 153 (153.5) · 85%
Book Duquesne -9.5 · we project Duquesne -9.5O/U 153.5 · we project Under 153.5
Stetson 0-1proj66
South Carolina 0-0proj81South Carolina -14.8 · book -19.5 lean StetsonO/U 147 (149.5) · 90%
Book South Carolina -19.5 · we project Stetson +19.5O/U 149.5 · we project Under 149.5
Hampton 0-0proj71
Georgia Tech 0-0proj80Georgia Tech -9.0 · book -14.5 lean HamptonO/U 151 (148.5) · 78%
Book Georgia Tech -14.5 · we project Hampton +14.5O/U 148.5 · we project Over 148.5
Holy Cross 0-0proj66
Rhode Island 0-0proj82Rhode Island -16.1 · book -20.5 lean Holy CrossO/U 148 (147.5) · 92%
Book Rhode Island -20.5 · we project Holy Cross +20.5O/U 147.5 · we project push
Wagner 0-0proj64
Boston College 0-0proj82Boston College -17.2 · book -19.5O/U 146 (142.5) lean over · 93%
Book Boston College -19.5 · we project Wagner +19.5O/U 142.5 · we project Over 142.5
New Orleans 0-0proj69
LSU 0-0proj85LSU -15.0 · book -27.5 lean New OrleansO/U 154 (159.5) lean under · 90%
Book LSU -27.5 · we project New Orleans +27.5O/U 159.5 · we project Under 159.5
South Dakota St. 0-0proj70
Kansas St. 0-0proj86Kansas St. -15.9 · book -11.5 lean Kansas St.O/U 156 (159.5) lean under · 92%
Book Kansas St. -11.5 · we project Kansas St. -11.5O/U 159.5 · we project Under 159.5
Northern Arizona 0-0proj66
UNLV 0-0proj86UNLV -20.0 · book -21.5O/U 152 (153.5) · 96%
Book UNLV -21.5 · we project Northern Arizona +21.5O/U 153.5 · we project Under 153.5
Tue, Nov 3, 10:00 PM ET · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events CenterESPN+
North Florida 0-0proj68
Cal Baptist 0-0proj82Cal Baptist -13.1 · book -11.5O/U 150 (157.5) lean under · 87%
Book Cal Baptist -11.5 · we project Cal Baptist -11.5O/U 157.5 · we project Under 157.5
Cal St. Fullerton 0-0proj66
San Diego St. 0-0proj86San Diego St. -19.3 · book -15.5 lean San Diego St.O/U 152 (154.5) · 95%
Book San Diego St. -15.5 · we project San Diego St. -15.5O/U 154.5 · we project Under 154.5
Every Game, Called
On the last pick before tip-off. Winner: did the pick win. Spread and Lean: did our side of the book's spread and total come in, where we were 3+ points apart. A dash means no lean. Leans win about half the time.
Nov 2 – Nov 8111 games87% winners (97/111)10.4 pt miss48% ATS (28/58)52% O/U (25/48)
How Close It Was
Our average miss
10.4 pts
the book: 9.7 pts
On the total
13.5 pts
average miss on the points scored