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NFL Predictions 2026

Every game, with the book's line beside ours

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 12:37 PM ET

Season Scorecard How this works

Season: 63% of winners called right (65 of 103)

Winners called right
63%
65 of 103 games
the book's favorite won 63% · we're level with it
Our projected spread
44%
46 of 104 games our pick won by more than we said
50% is the target, not a bar to clear · we are not leaning either way
Spread leans vs the book
9 of 18
games where we differed from the book by 3+ points
Over/under leans
31%
11 of 35 games where we differed from the book by 3+ points
a coin flip is 50% · we're behind it
Line moved our way
64%
16 of 25 calls where the early-week line moved by kickoff
a coin flip is 50% · we're ahead of it · on average it moved 0.1 pts our way · 15 of 40 calls saw no move

This Week's Leans How this works

Our biggest lean
Eagles +6.0×
vs Commanders · GordStats had Commanders by 2.5 (58% to win) when locked; the book, by 6.0
Line closed +6.0 · did not move
One more lean
  • Over 40.5×
    Eagles at Commanders · GordStats projected 45.5 points when locked
    Line closed 40.5 · did not move
Week 8Locked Thu, Oct 29, 9:16 AM ET

Card leans this season: 8-10 against the book's line, 44% right; by kickoff the line moved our way on 3, against us on 4, not at all on 11. Not tips: over ten seasons, leans like these have won about half the time. Full record.

Week 8

Week:
Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET · Green Bay, WIPrime Video · Recap →
Panthers 3-3-2.7proj 2019
Packers 4-3+1.4proj 2527
called Packers -4.7 · 64%✓ rightfinal 46, O/U 45
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Orchard Park, NYCBS · Recap →
Ravens 4-3-0.4proj 2410
Bills 5-1+5.6proj 2936
called Bills -4.5 · 63%✓ rightfinal 46, O/U 53
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Cincinnati, OHCBS · Recap →
Titans 1-6-6.7proj 1836
Bengals 4-2+1.9proj 2843
called Bengals -9.6 · 77%✓ rightfinal 79, O/U 46
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Arlington, TXFox · Recap →
Cardinals 2-5-4.3proj 2433
Cowboys 3-4-1.2proj 2930
called Cowboys -5.0 · 65%✗ wrongfinal 63, O/U 53
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Detroit, MIFox · Recap →
Vikings 6-0+3.1proj 2215
Lions 4-2+3.1proj 2419
called Lions -0.4 · 51%✓ rightfinal 34, O/U 46
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · East Rutherford, NJFox · Recap →
Raiders 3-4-4.0proj 2238
Jets 2-5-4.9proj 2433
called Jets -0.7 · 52%✗ wrongfinal 71, O/U 46
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Pittsburgh, PACBS · Recap →
Browns 5-2-4.0proj 186
Steelers 5-2+1.2proj 2227
called Steelers -4.6 · 64%✓ rightfinal 33, O/U 40
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Tampa, FLFox · Recap →
Falcons 3-4-1.8proj 220
Buccaneers 2-5+1.2proj 2516
called Buccaneers -2.5 · 58%✓ rightfinal 16, O/U 47
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Jacksonville, FLCBS · Recap →
Colts 2-5-2.6proj 207
Jaguars 4-2+6.4proj 2842
called Jaguars -7.0 · 70%✓ rightfinal 49, O/U 48
Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET · Inglewood, CAFox · Recap →
Chargers 0-6-3.0proj 189
Rams 3-4+3.9proj 2624
called Rams -7.1 · 71%✓ rightfinal 33, O/U 44
Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Denver, COCBS · Recap →
Chiefs 5-1+2.3proj 1924
Broncos 5-2+2.7proj 2128
called Broncos -0.9 · 53%✓ rightfinal 52, O/U 40
Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Miami Gardens, FLCBS · Recap →
Patriots 4-3+3.5proj 2524
Dolphins 1-5-4.3proj 1819
called Patriots -6.9 · 70%✓ rightfinal 43, O/U 43
Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET · Landover, MDNBC · Recap →
Eagles 2-5-2.0proj 2110
Commanders 1-4-1-2.8proj 2427
called Commanders -2.7 · 58%✓ rightfinal 37, O/U 45
Eagles without Jalen Hurts
Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET · Seattle, WAESPN · Preview →
Bears 5-2+2.1proj20
Seahawks 4-3+6.5proj26
Seahawks -5.8 · book -3.0O/U 46 (46.5) · 67%
DraftKings Seahawks -3 · we project Seahawks -3O/U 46.5 · we project Under 46.5

Ratings How this works

#TeamRecordRatingOffDef
1Seahawks4-3+6.525.619.1
2Jaguars5-2+6.426.119.7
3Bills6-1+5.628.522.9
4Rams4-4+3.925.421.5
5Patriots5-3+3.523.920.4
649ers6-1+3.525.421.9
7Vikings6-1+3.121.618.4
8Lions5-2+3.126.923.8
9Broncos6-2+2.723.220.5
10Chiefs5-2+2.322.920.6

All 32 teams →

How Close It Was

Our average miss
9.4 pts
the book: 9.2 pts
On the total
11.1 pts
average miss on the points scored