Follow teams and keep your fantasy leagues on every device.

Sign inWhat you get

Lions at Cardinals

Week 5 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 19 · 5:37 AM ET

Lions2-2 going in
45–21Final
Cardinals1-3 going in

Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET · Fox

State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ

Indoors

The Call How this works

GordStats had Lions by 3.8✓, the book by 5.5 — 1.7 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

DET 61%win chanceARI 39%
GordStatsDET by 3.861% to win · DET 29–ARI 25
BookDET -5.5O/U 55.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Lions' scoring offense (2nd) meets Cardinals' scoring defense (30th).
  • Cardinals' third-down offense (15th) meets Lions' third-down defense (30th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Lions Offense vs Cardinals Defense

DET offARI def
EPA per play
4th+0.1428th+0.09
Pass EPA
3rd+0.2530th+0.28
Run EPA
6th-0.023rd-0.20
Success rate
2nd49%25th45%
Explosive plays
7th10%29th10%
Points per drive
2nd3.1530th2.77
Red zone TD
3rd77%27th73%
Third downs
22nd37%19th42%
Sacks
14th5%11th7%
Turnovers
1st2%15th11%

Lions: 30.3 sec a snap (3rd fastest) · passes 1% less than expected

Cardinals Offense vs Lions Defense

ARI offDET def
EPA per play
16th-0.0130th+0.16
Pass EPA
19th+0.0429th+0.26
Run EPA
15th-0.0923rd-0.05
Success rate
10th46%30th49%
Explosive plays
32nd4%28th10%
Points per drive
21st1.9431st2.79
Red zone TD
27th48%31st81%
Third downs
15th40%30th51%
Sacks
8th5%4th8%
Turnovers
13th9%26th9%

Cardinals: 32.7 sec a snap (22nd fastest) · passes 2% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Lions

  • QBJared Goff+0.28 EPA a dropback · CPOE -0.2 · 182 dropbacks · 5th of 33
  • RBJahmyr Gibbs+0.05 EPA a carry · 4.9 yds · 95 carries · 10th in EPA
  • TESam LaPorta+0.75 EPA a target · 69% caught · 32 targets · 8th in EPA
  • WRJameson Williams+0.74 EPA a target · 63% caught · 27 targets · 10th in EPA

Cardinals

  • QBJacoby Brissett+0.01 EPA a dropback · CPOE +1.7 · 225 dropbacks · 20th of 33
  • RBJeremiyah Love-0.07 EPA a carry · 3.7 yds · 65 carries · 23rd in EPA

Recent Form

Lions

  • L26-32at Panthers−9
  • W31-24vs Jets−2
  • L31-41at Bills−6
  • W31-30vs Saints—

Cardinals

  • L24-36at Giants−10
  • L30-36at 49ers+3
  • L7-31vs Seahawks−17
  • W26-14at Chargers—

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.