Detroit Lions
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
2–1 · 11th of 32
Rated +2.3 points vs an average team · NFC North
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 10.2–6.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.8–6.1 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.109th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.1430th of 32
Success rate51.3%2nd of 32
Explosive plays9.6%9th of 32
3rd down41.2%15th of 32
Red zone TD78.6%4th of 32
Giveaway rate3.2%3rd of 32
Takeaway rate12.5%11th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Saints | 13 Sep | W 31–30 | +5.9 | — |
2 at Bills | 17 Sep | L 31–41 | -3.9 | — |
3 vs Jets | 27 Sep | W 31–24 | +9.1 | — |
4 at Panthers | 4 Oct | proj 28–25 | +3.0 | 59% |
5 at Cardinals | 11 Oct | proj 28–24 | +3.7 | 61% |
7 vs Packers | 25 Oct | proj 28–23 | +5.2 | 65% |
8 vs Vikings | 1 Nov | proj 24–23 | +1.0 | 53% |
9 at Dolphins | 8 Nov | proj 28–22 | +5.6 | 66% |
10 vs Patriots | 15 Nov | proj 24–24 | -0.1 | 50% |
11 vs Buccaneers | 22 Nov | proj 29–23 | +5.6 | 66% |
12 vs Bears | 26 Nov | proj 27–25 | +1.2 | 54% |
13 at Falcons | 6 Dec | proj 27–23 | +3.3 | 60% |
14 vs Titans | 13 Dec | proj 30–19 | +10.6 | 79% |
| 15at Vikings | 20 Dec | proj 22–25 | -2.5 | 42% |
16 vs Giants | 28 Dec | proj 28–21 | +6.9 | 70% |
| 17at Bears | 3 Jan | proj 25–27 | -2.3 | 43% |
| 18at Packers | 10 Jan | proj 27–25 | +1.8 | 55% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.