New York Jets
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET

1–2 · 31st of 32
Rated -5.1 points vs an average team · AFC East
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.9–11.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.9–10.1 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0412th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.0212th of 32
Success rate45.0%13th of 32
Explosive plays7.9%16th of 32
3rd down38.1%19th of 32
Red zone TD66.7%13th of 32
Giveaway rate3.1%2nd of 32
Takeaway rate3.5%30th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 Sep | W 23–10 | -0.3 | — |
| 2 | 20 Sep | L 17–20 | -3.7 | — |
| 3 | 27 Sep | L 24–31 | -9.1 | — |
| 4 | 4 Oct | proj 18–28 | -9.7 | 23% |
| 5 | 11 Oct | proj 21–21 | +0.5 | 52% |
| 6 | 18 Oct | proj 16–25 | -9.2 | 24% |
| 7 | 25 Oct | proj 23–21 | +1.6 | 55% |
| 8 | 1 Nov | proj 22–22 | -0.6 | 48% |
| 9 | 8 Nov | proj 17–27 | -9.9 | 23% |
| 10 | 15 Nov | proj 21–29 | -8.3 | 26% |
| 11 | 22 Nov | proj 19–24 | -5.0 | 35% |
| 12 | 29 Nov | proj 21–23 | -1.9 | 44% |
| 14 | 13 Dec | proj 19–24 | -5.5 | 34% |
| 15 | 20 Dec | proj 21–25 | -3.7 | 39% |
| 16 | 27 Dec | proj 18–24 | -5.8 | 33% |
| 17 | 3 Jan | proj 17–24 | -6.5 | 31% |
| 18 | 10 Jan | proj 19–31 | -11.8 | 18% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.