Chicago Bears
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
2–1 · 8th of 32
Rated +2.8 points vs an average team · NFC North
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.9–7.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.4–6.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0811th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.066th of 32
Success rate43.1%17th of 32
Explosive plays8.8%12th of 32
3rd down47.6%6th of 32
Red zone TD54.5%21st of 32
Giveaway rate9.1%17th of 32
Takeaway rate16.1%8th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Panthers | 13 Sep | W 59–37 | +3.5 | — |
2 vs Vikings | 20 Sep | L 3–9 | +1.8 | — |
3 vs Eagles | 28 Sep | W 27–7 | +0.9 | — |
4 vs Jets | 4 Oct | proj 28–18 | +9.7 | 77% |
5 at Packers | 11 Oct | proj 25–22 | +2.3 | 57% |
6 at Falcons | 18 Oct | proj 25–21 | +3.9 | 62% |
7 vs Patriots | 22 Oct | proj 23–21 | +2.2 | 57% |
8 at Seahawks | 2 Nov | proj 20–26 | -6.0 | 32% |
9 vs Buccaneers | 8 Nov | proj 27–21 | +6.1 | 68% |
11 vs Saints | 22 Nov | proj 26–20 | +6.5 | 69% |
12 at Lions | 26 Nov | proj 25–27 | -1.2 | 46% |
13 vs Jaguars | 6 Dec | proj 23–24 | -1.0 | 47% |
14 at Dolphins | 13 Dec | proj 26–20 | +6.1 | 68% |
15 at Bills | 19 Dec | proj 24–28 | -3.8 | 39% |
| 16vs Packers | 25 Dec | proj 27–21 | +5.8 | 67% |
| 17vs Lions | 3 Jan | proj 27–25 | +2.3 | 57% |
| 18at Vikings | 10 Jan | proj 21–22 | -1.9 | 44% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.