Atlanta Falcons
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
1–2 · 25th of 32
Rated -2.8 points vs an average team · NFC South
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.8–10.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.2–10.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.2432nd of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.058th of 32
Success rate45.4%12th of 32
Explosive plays8.6%13th of 32
3rd down34.3%25th of 32
Red zone TD80.0%3rd of 32
Giveaway rate22.9%31st of 32
Takeaway rate6.1%28th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Steelers | 13 Sep | L 13–20 | -3.5 | — |
2 vs Panthers | 20 Sep | L 3–34 | +4.9 | — |
3 at Packers | 24 Sep | W 35–14 | -6.8 | — |
4 at Saints | 5 Oct | proj 21–23 | -2.6 | 42% |
5 vs Ravens | 11 Oct | proj 22–25 | -3.7 | 39% |
6 vs Bears | 18 Oct | proj 21–25 | -3.9 | 38% |
7 vs 49ers | 25 Oct | proj 20–25 | -4.9 | 35% |
8 at Buccaneers | 1 Nov | proj 21–24 | -2.9 | 41% |
9 vs Bengals | 8 Nov | proj 22–25 | -2.9 | 41% |
10 vs Chiefs | 15 Nov | proj 19–23 | -4.1 | 38% |
12 at Vikings | 29 Nov | proj 17–24 | -7.5 | 28% |
13 vs Lions | 6 Dec | proj 23–27 | -3.3 | 40% |
14 at Browns | 13 Dec | proj 20–21 | -0.6 | 48% |
15 at Commanders | 20 Dec | proj 23–25 | -1.8 | 44% |
| 16vs Buccaneers | 27 Dec | proj 23–22 | +0.5 | 52% |
| 17vs Saints | 3 Jan | proj 22–22 | +0.9 | 53% |
| 18at Panthers | 10 Jan | proj 22–24 | -2.1 | 44% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.