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Atlanta Falcons
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET

3–6 · 21st of 32
Rated -2.4 points vs an average team · NFC South
What the Falcons need to make the playoffs →
Projected Record
| Source | W–L |
|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.6–10.4 |
| ESPN FPI | 5.7–11.3 |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.0825th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.0112th of 32
Success rate43.7%15th of 32
Explosive plays8.1%16th of 32
3rd down35.2%27th of 32
Red zone TD61.5%13th of 32
Giveaway rate15.6%27th of 32
Takeaway rate10.2%21st of 32
Opponent-adjusted through Week 9. Every team: Team Stats.
Schedule
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| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 13 | L 13–20 | -4.5* | — |
| 2 | Sep 20 | L 3–34 | +4.9 | — |
| 3 | Sep 24 | W 35–14 | -6.8 | — |
| 4 | Oct 5 | W 45–24 | -2.5 | — |
| 5 | Oct 11 | L 23–30 | +2.3† | — |
| 6 | Oct 18 | L 23–31 | -1.4 | — |
| 7 | Oct 25 | W 29–20 | -4.4 | — |
| 8 | Nov 1 | L 0–16 | -2.5 | — |
| 9 | Nov 8 | L 17–34 | -3.7 | — |
| 10 | Nov 15 | proj 19–24 | -4.3 | 37% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | proj 19–20 | -1.6† | 45% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | proj 22–27 | -4.8 | 36% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | proj 21–20 | +0.6 | 52% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | proj 22–24 | -0.8 | 48% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | proj 21–23 | -2.7 | 42% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | proj 24–22 | +2.0 | 56% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | proj 23–24 | -0.7 | 48% |
Expected: our margin, the one on record before kickoff for a finished game. * No call was on record for that game: today's model, which has seen the result. † That number has a regular quarterback out: Ravens without Lamar Jackson (vs Ravens); Vikings without Kyler Murray (at Vikings). Win: the chance to win a game still to play.