Pittsburgh Steelers
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET

2–1 · 17th of 32
Rated -1.0 points vs an average team · AFC North
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.7–8.3 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.4–8.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.1228th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0116th of 32
Success rate39.4%27th of 32
Explosive plays7.4%21st of 32
3rd down33.3%26th of 32
Red zone TD33.3%29th of 32
Giveaway rate11.8%20th of 32
Takeaway rate15.6%9th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 Sep | W 20–13 | +3.5 | — |
| 2 | 20 Sep | L 3–20 | -5.7 | — |
| 3 | 27 Sep | W 30–27 | +0.1 | — |
| 4 | 1 Oct | proj 21–20 | +1.2 | 54% |
| 5 | 11 Oct | proj 24–23 | +1.1 | 53% |
| 6 | 18 Oct | proj 22–23 | -1.1 | 47% |
| 7 | 25 Oct | proj 22–21 | +1.0 | 53% |
| 8 | 1 Nov | proj 23–18 | +4.7 | 64% |
| 10 | 15 Nov | proj 22–25 | -2.8 | 41% |
| 11 | 22 Nov | proj 19–23 | -3.7 | 39% |
| 12 | 27 Nov | proj 20–22 | -1.3 | 46% |
| 13 | 6 Dec | proj 20–21 | -0.9 | 47% |
| 14 | 14 Dec | proj 18–26 | -8.3 | 26% |
| 15 | 20 Dec | proj 22–24 | -1.9 | 44% |
| 16 | 27 Dec | proj 24–21 | +3.1 | 59% |
| 17 | 3 Jan | proj 23–19 | +3.9 | 62% |
| 18 | 10 Jan | proj 20–26 | -5.3 | 34% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.