Cincinnati Bengals

Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET

2–1 · 15th of 32
Rated +0.1 points vs an average team · AFC North

Projected record

SourceW–LHow
GordStats9.6–7.4Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left
ESPN FPI10.6–6.3ESPN's simulation of the full schedule

Advanced

Offense EPA/play+0.118th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0420th of 32
Success rate45.9%10th of 32
Explosive plays11.5%4th of 32
3rd down46.3%8th of 32
Red zone TD50.0%22nd of 32
Giveaway rate6.9%11th of 32
Takeaway rate16.7%5th of 32

EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.

Schedule

OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1vs Buccaneers13 SepW 33–27+3.5—
2at Texans20 SepW 20–6-6.3—
3at Steelers27 SepL 27–30-0.1—
4vs Jaguars4 Octproj 23–26-3.739%
5at Dolphins11 Octproj 26–22+3.460%
7at Ravens25 Octproj 24–28-4.237%
8vs Titans1 Novproj 28–19+8.474%
9vs Falcons8 Novproj 25–22+2.959%
10vs Steelers15 Novproj 25–22+2.859%
11at Commanders23 Novproj 26–25+1.153%
12vs Saints29 Novproj 26–22+3.861%
13at Browns6 Decproj 24–22+2.457%
14vs Chiefs13 Decproj 23–24-1.246%
15at Panthers20 Decproj 25–25+0.853%
16at Colts27 Decproj 26–27-1.246%
17vs Ravens31 Decproj 25–26-0.848%
18vs Browns10 Janproj 26–20+5.867%

Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.