Cincinnati Bengals
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET

2–1 · 15th of 32
Rated +0.1 points vs an average team · AFC North
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.6–7.4 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.6–6.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.118th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0420th of 32
Success rate45.9%10th of 32
Explosive plays11.5%4th of 32
3rd down46.3%8th of 32
Red zone TD50.0%22nd of 32
Giveaway rate6.9%11th of 32
Takeaway rate16.7%5th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 Sep | W 33–27 | +3.5 | — |
| 2 | 20 Sep | W 20–6 | -6.3 | — |
| 3 | 27 Sep | L 27–30 | -0.1 | — |
| 4 | 4 Oct | proj 23–26 | -3.7 | 39% |
| 5 | 11 Oct | proj 26–22 | +3.4 | 60% |
| 7 | 25 Oct | proj 24–28 | -4.2 | 37% |
| 8 | 1 Nov | proj 28–19 | +8.4 | 74% |
| 9 | 8 Nov | proj 25–22 | +2.9 | 59% |
| 10 | 15 Nov | proj 25–22 | +2.8 | 59% |
| 11 | 23 Nov | proj 26–25 | +1.1 | 53% |
| 12 | 29 Nov | proj 26–22 | +3.8 | 61% |
| 13 | 6 Dec | proj 24–22 | +2.4 | 57% |
| 14 | 13 Dec | proj 23–24 | -1.2 | 46% |
| 15 | 20 Dec | proj 25–25 | +0.8 | 53% |
| 16 | 27 Dec | proj 26–27 | -1.2 | 46% |
| 17 | 31 Dec | proj 25–26 | -0.8 | 48% |
| 18 | 10 Jan | proj 26–20 | +5.8 | 67% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.