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Houston Texans
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET

3–5 · 8th of 32
Rated +2.9 points vs an average team · AFC South
What the Texans need to make the playoffs →
Projected Record
| Source | W–L |
|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.7–8.3 |
| ESPN FPI | 9.1–7.9 |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.078th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0319th of 32
Success rate44.4%12th of 32
Explosive plays8.4%12th of 32
3rd down40.2%14th of 32
Red zone TD58.1%17th of 32
Giveaway rate4.7%1st of 32
Takeaway rate9.3%25th of 32
Opponent-adjusted through Week 9. Every team: Team Stats.
Schedule
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| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 13 | L 31–36 | -2.4* | — |
| 2 | Sep 20 | L 6–20 | +6.3 | — |
| 3 | Sep 27 | L 17–19 | +1.1 | — |
| 4 | Oct 4 | L 30–34 | +4.8 | — |
| 5 | Oct 11 | W 26–3 | +5.8 | — |
| 6 | Oct 18 | W 34–31 | -3.4 | — |
| 7 | Oct 25 | L 21–27 | +10.8† | — |
| 9 | Nov 8 | W 44–22 | +3.7 | — |
| 10 | Nov 15 | proj 24–18 | +5.9 | 67% |
| 11 | Nov 19 | proj 27–21 | +6.5 | 69% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | proj 28–18 | +9.2† | 76% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | proj 23–21 | +0.8 | 53% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | proj 26–21 | +4.5 | 63% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | proj 21–24 | -3.5 | 39% |
| 16 | Dec 24 | proj 26–17 | +8.3† | 74% |
| 17 | Jan 4 | proj 22–23 | -0.5 | 48% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | proj 28–17 | +10.4 | 79% |
Expected: our margin, the one on record before kickoff for a finished game. * No call was on record for that game: today's model, which has seen the result. † That number has a regular quarterback out: Giants without Jameis Winston (vs Giants); Ravens without Lamar Jackson (vs Ravens); Eagles without Jalen Hurts (at Eagles). Win: the chance to win a game still to play.