Houston Texans
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
0–3 · 13th of 32
Rated +1.7 points vs an average team · AFC South
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.0–9.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.7–9.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.0522nd of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0319th of 32
Success rate43.7%15th of 32
Explosive plays6.8%24th of 32
3rd down36.4%23rd of 32
Red zone TD50.0%23rd of 32
Giveaway rate5.9%7th of 32
Takeaway rate9.1%21st of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Bills | 13 Sep | L 31–36 | -1.5 | — |
2 vs Bengals | 20 Sep | L 6–20 | +6.3 | — |
3 at Colts | 27 Sep | L 17–19 | +1.1 | — |
4 vs Cowboys | 4 Oct | proj 27–22 | +4.8 | 64% |
5 at Titans | 11 Oct | proj 24–17 | +6.5 | 69% |
6 vs Jaguars | 18 Oct | proj 20–24 | -3.9 | 38% |
7 vs Giants | 25 Oct | proj 24–17 | +6.3 | 69% |
9 at Chargers | 8 Nov | proj 21–19 | +1.8 | 55% |
10 at Browns | 15 Nov | proj 22–18 | +3.9 | 62% |
| 11vs Colts | 19 Nov | proj 25–22 | +3.8 | 61% |
12 vs Ravens | 29 Nov | proj 23–22 | +0.7 | 52% |
13 at Steelers | 6 Dec | proj 21–20 | +0.9 | 53% |
14 at Commanders | 13 Dec | proj 24–22 | +2.6 | 58% |
| 15vs Jaguars | 20 Dec | proj 20–23 | -2.2 | 43% |
16 at Eagles | 24 Dec | proj 20–21 | -1.1 | 47% |
17 at Packers | 4 Jan | proj 22–21 | +1.2 | 54% |
| 18vs Titans | 10 Jan | proj 25–16 | +10.0 | 78% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.