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Houston Texans

Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET

3–5 · 8th of 32
Rated +2.9 points vs an average team · AFC South

What the Texans need to make the playoffs →

Projected Record

SourceW–L
GordStats8.7–8.3
ESPN FPI9.1–7.9

Advanced

Offense EPA/play+0.078th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0319th of 32
Success rate44.4%12th of 32
Explosive plays8.4%12th of 32
3rd down40.2%14th of 32
Red zone TD58.1%17th of 32
Giveaway rate4.7%1st of 32
Takeaway rate9.3%25th of 32

Opponent-adjusted through Week 9. Every team: Team Stats.

Schedule

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OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1vs BillsSep 13L 31–36-2.4*—
2vs BengalsSep 20L 6–20+6.3—
3at ColtsSep 27L 17–19+1.1—
4vs CowboysOct 4L 30–34+4.8—
5at TitansOct 11W 26–3+5.8—
6vs JaguarsOct 18W 34–31-3.4—
7vs GiantsOct 25L 21–27+10.8†—
9at ChargersNov 8W 44–22+3.7—
10at BrownsNov 15proj 24–18+5.967%
11vs ColtsNov 19proj 27–21+6.569%
12vs RavensNov 29proj 28–18+9.2†76%
13at SteelersDec 6proj 23–21+0.853%
14at CommandersDec 13proj 26–21+4.563%
15vs JaguarsDec 20proj 21–24-3.539%
16at EaglesDec 24proj 26–17+8.3†74%
17at PackersJan 4proj 22–23-0.548%
18vs TitansJan 10proj 28–17+10.479%

Expected: our margin, the one on record before kickoff for a finished game. * No call was on record for that game: today's model, which has seen the result. † That number has a regular quarterback out: Giants without Jameis Winston (vs Giants); Ravens without Lamar Jackson (vs Ravens); Eagles without Jalen Hurts (at Eagles). Win: the chance to win a game still to play.