Dallas Cowboys
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
1–2 · 19th of 32
Rated -1.4 points vs an average team · NFC East
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.3–9.7 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 9.7–7.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.183rd of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.2031st of 32
Success rate50.6%4th of 32
Explosive plays4.2%31st of 32
3rd down57.1%2nd of 32
Red zone TD69.2%8th of 32
Giveaway rate7.7%15th of 32
Takeaway rate7.1%23rd of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Giants | 13 Sep | L 20–28 | -0.2 | — |
2 vs Commanders | 20 Sep | W 37–20 | +1.8 | — |
3 vs Ravens | 27 Sep | L 31–34 | -4.4 | — |
4 at Texans | 4 Oct | proj 22–27 | -4.8 | 36% |
5 vs Buccaneers | 8 Oct | proj 27–25 | +1.9 | 56% |
6 at Packers | 18 Oct | proj 25–27 | -1.9 | 44% |
7 at Eagles | 26 Oct | proj 22–26 | -4.1 | 38% |
8 vs Cardinals | 1 Nov | proj 28–25 | +3.4 | 60% |
9 at Colts | 8 Nov | proj 26–29 | -2.8 | 42% |
10 vs 49ers | 15 Nov | proj 24–28 | -3.5 | 39% |
11 vs Titans | 22 Nov | proj 28–21 | +6.9 | 70% |
| 12vs Eagles | 26 Nov | proj 24–25 | -0.7 | 48% |
13 at Seahawks | 7 Dec | proj 20–30 | -10.2 | 22% |
15 at Rams | 20 Dec | proj 22–30 | -7.4 | 29% |
16 vs Jaguars | 27 Dec | proj 23–28 | -5.3 | 34% |
| 17vs Giants | 3 Jan | proj 26–23 | +3.2 | 60% |
| 18at Commanders | 10 Jan | proj 27–27 | -0.4 | 49% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.