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Cardinals at Cowboys

Week 8 · Final

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET

Cardinals2-5 going in
33–30Final/OT
Cowboys3-4 going in

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET · Fox

AT&T Stadium · Arlington, TX

Indoors

The Call How this works

GordStats had Cowboys by 5✗, the book by 7 — 2 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

ARI 35%win chanceDAL 65%
GordStatsDAL by 565% to win · ARI 24–DAL 29
BookDAL -7O/U 54.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Cowboys' scoring offense (3rd) meets Cardinals' scoring defense (31st).
  • Cardinals' run game (12th) meets Cowboys' run defense (32nd).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Cardinals Offense vs Cowboys Defense

ARI offDAL def
EPA per play
20th-0.0131st+0.17
Pass EPA
21st+0.0229th+0.23
Run EPA
12th-0.0632nd+0.02
Success rate
13th44%26th46%
Explosive plays
31st5%28th10%
Points per drive
20th1.9729th2.63
Red zone TD
30th45%27th70%
Third downs
15th39%31st52%
Sacks
13th6%26th5%
Turnovers
11th9%30th7%

Cardinals: 32.2 sec a snap (17th fastest) · passes 1% less than expected

Cowboys Offense vs Cardinals Defense

DAL offARI def
EPA per play
6th+0.1126th+0.08
Pass EPA
9th+0.1931st+0.28
Run EPA
9th-0.043rd-0.20
Success rate
6th48%18th44%
Explosive plays
30th6%22nd9%
Points per drive
3rd2.8431st2.70
Red zone TD
8th68%20th65%
Third downs
4th48%14th39%
Sacks
2nd3%8th7%
Turnovers
10th8%29th8%

Cowboys: 30.4 sec a snap (4th fastest) · passes 0% more than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Cardinals

  • QBJacoby Brissett-0.06 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.0 · 289 dropbacks · 26th of 32
  • RBJeremiyah Love-0.15 EPA a carry · 3.6 yds · 74 carries · 29th in EPA

Cowboys

  • QBDak Prescott+0.15 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.1 · 286 dropbacks · 12th of 32
  • RBJavonte Williams+0.00 EPA a carry · 4.0 yds · 120 carries · 13th in EPA
  • WRCeeDee Lamb+0.40 EPA a target · 68% caught · 80 targets · 38th in EPA
  • WRGeorge Pickens+0.39 EPA a target · 63% caught · 52 targets · 39th in EPA

Recent Form

Cardinals

  • L16–30vs Broncos−9
  • W18–16at Rams+13
  • L21–45vs Lions−20
  • L24–36at Giants−10

Cowboys

  • W38–21at Eagles+16
  • L13–23at Packers−6
  • L16–24vs Buccaneers−15
  • W34–30at Texans+9

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.