Power Rankings

Updated Mon, Oct 5 · 5:44 PM ET

Every Sleeper roster played through 2026-2027 ten thousand times, averaged with the FantasyPros League Analyzer. 100 is the league average; a point is one percent better.

The schedule ahead - whose helps from here, and which defenses give up points to each position - is on Matchup Strength.

Your League

iHow this works

Power Rankings iHow this works

Tyler has, through week 3, the strongest roster: 97% playoffs, 32% title (Mark: 21%, 2%).

Manager	Record	Playoffs	Title	Rating	Move	GordStats	FP	Proj. Record	Luck
1Tyler	5-1	97%	32%	108.1	+4	109.2	107.0	19.9-8.1	+0.6
2Padgett	4-2	69%	8%	108.0	+1	98.8	117.3	14.7-13.3	+0.4
3Jackson	1-5	51%	7%	106.3	+1	99.0	113.6	12.8-15.2	-1.2
4Colin	2-4	65%	10%	106.3	-2	103.3	109.2	13.9-14.1	-1.1
5George	3-3	76%	13%	105.2	-4	104.3	106.0	15.0-13.0	-0.1
6Austin	4-2	72%	10%	99.6	+2	104.9	94.4	14.7-13.3	-0.7
7Everett	4-2	55%	5%	98.4	-1	97.0	99.8	13.5-14.5	+0.7
8Max	4-2	76%	11%	94.9	-1	100.6	89.2	15.5-12.5	+0.7
9Trevor	1-5	17%	1%	89.4	·	91.0	87.9	9.7-18.3	+0.3
10Mark	2-4	21%	2%	83.6	·	91.8	75.5	10.4-17.6	+0.4

Move: places climbed since Sep 28. Record includes the weekly median win; Luck is record minus all-play expectation. Played weeks are locked in. Rating averages GordStats (our simulation) and FP (FantasyPros, Oct 5) as ratings, not ranks.

Projected wins range

Dot: average season; bar: middle 80%. Most of these ranges overlap.

Playoff Picture iHow this works

The top 6 make the playoffs and the top 2 skip the first round. Each team has 22 games left - 11 weeks of a head-to-head game and the median. Nobody has clinched or been knocked out yet; the closest is Tyler, 20 more wins from sure.

Team	W-L	Magic	Playoffs
1Tyler	5-1	20	97%
2Austin	4-2	21	72%
3Max	4-2	21	76%
4Everett	4-2	21	55%
5Padgett	4-2	21	69%
6George	3-3	22	76%
7Colin	2-4	—	65%
8Mark	2-4	—	21%
9Jackson	1-5	—	51%
10Trevor	1-5	—	17%

Seeded as things stand, on wins and then points for: the solid line is the playoff cut, the dashed one the byes. Magic: more wins that clinch a spot whatever anyone else does (losses by the teams chasing can bring it down too); — means the team needs results elsewhere. Playoffs: the simulated chance.

Through the Season

Playoff and title odds iHow this works

PlayoffsTitleTeam AustinColinEverettGeorgeJacksonMarkMaxPadgettTrevorTyler

0%25%50%75%100%Pre123after week97%

Biggest riser since the preseason: Tyler, 63% → 97%. Biggest faller: Trevor, 49% → 17%.

Week by week

Team	Pre	1	2	3
Tyler	63%	77%	86%	97%
George	67%	70%	90%	76%
Max	53%	51%	71%	76%
Austin	70%	82%	85%	72%
Padgett	61%	48%	52%	69%
Colin	61%	81%	63%	65%
Everett	60%	39%	34%	55%
Jackson	78%	72%	58%	51%
Mark	37%	55%	37%	21%
Trevor	49%	26%	25%	17%

0%10%20%30%40%Pre123after week32%

Biggest riser since the preseason: Tyler, 11% → 32%. Biggest faller: Jackson, 16% → 7%.

Week by week

Team	Pre	1	2	3
Tyler	11%	15%	17%	32%
George	12%	12%	21%	13%
Max	8%	7%	11%	11%
Colin	10%	18%	11%	10%
Austin	13%	17%	17%	10%
Padgett	9%	6%	5%	8%
Jackson	16%	13%	8%	7%
Everett	9%	4%	3%	5%
Mark	4%	6%	4%	2%
Trevor	7%	2%	2%	1%

Rating, build by build

Since Sep 8: George +7.4, Max -8.6.

This Week's Stakes iHow this works

Each team's playoff odds with a win and with a loss in week 4. Game of the week, highlighted: Colin vs George.

Team	Swing	With a win	With a loss	Playoffs now	Win chance	Plays
Jackson	24	63%	39%	51%	53%	Trevor
Colin	22	77%	55%	65%	48%	George
Everett	22	68%	47%	55%	38%	Max
Padgett	21	77%	56%	69%	63%	Mark
Max	20	83%	64%	76%	62%	Everett
Mark	20	34%	14%	21%	37%	Padgett
George	19	85%	66%	76%	52%	Colin
Austin	17	83%	66%	72%	36%	Tyler
Trevor	14	25%	11%	17%	47%	Jackson
Tyler	4	99%	94%	97%	64%	Austin

Positional Strength

Projected points per game from Sleeper's season projections, filled the way the lineup is: QB, two RBs, two WRs, TE, the best two RB/WR/TE left at FLEX, K and DEF. The bench is the next 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE — the depth that would step in. Each bar is the gap to the league average at that position: right of the line is better than average, left is worse. Teams run in power-ranking order in every panel; hover a row for the players.

StartersBenchAbove averageBelow averageLeague average

Whole roster

All starters, and the bench depth below them · avg 121.3, bench 46.6

−12.9avg+12.9

1Tyler

123.8+2.5bench 45.6

2Padgett

124.5+3.2bench 35.6

3Jackson

122.6+1.3bench 54.9

4Colin

121.4+0.1bench 33.7

5George

124.7+3.4bench 55.3

6Austin

116.4-4.9bench 46.3

7Everett

120.0-1.3bench 44.1

8Max

122.5+1.2bench 53.6

9Trevor

122.9+1.6bench 55.6

10Mark

114.2-7.0bench 41.8

QB

Starters and the next 1 behind them · avg 18.4, bench 16.3

−2.8avg+2.8

1Tyler

18.9+0.4bench 15.9

2Padgett

17.4-1.1no bench

3Jackson

18.0-0.4bench 17.8

4Colin

18.3-0.2no bench

5George

21.3+2.8bench 17.4

6Austin

19.2+0.7bench 16.5

7Everett

17.8-0.6bench 16.9

8Max

18.2-0.3bench 15.5

9Trevor

17.9-0.6bench 16.7

10Mark

17.6-0.8bench 13.9

RB

Starters and the next 2 behind them · avg 28.1, bench 14.3

−6.2avg+6.2

1Tyler

31.2+3.2bench 16.2

2Padgett

26.5-1.5bench 18.0

3Jackson

24.7-3.4bench 17.5

4Colin

26.8-1.3bench 11.3

5George

30.9+2.9bench 9.1

6Austin

24.5-3.6bench 15.1

7Everett

27.8-0.3bench 19.5

8Max

34.0+6.0bench 19.4

9Trevor

31.4+3.4bench 8.8

10Mark

22.7-5.3bench 8.1

WR

Starters and the next 2 behind them · avg 29.1, bench 13.9

−9.3avg+9.3

1Tyler

28.6-0.5bench 13.4

2Padgett

30.7+1.6bench 17.6

3Jackson

33.0+3.9bench 19.5

4Colin

31.9+2.8bench 14.4

5George

26.5-2.6bench 19.4

6Austin

28.1-1.0bench 4.6

7Everett

28.6-0.5bench 7.7

8Max

26.2-2.8bench 9.8

9Trevor

27.7-1.4bench 20.6

10Mark

29.6+0.5bench 11.6

TE

Starters and the next 1 behind them · avg 11.3, bench 9.0

−2.5avg+2.5

1Tyler

13.3+2.0no bench

2Padgett

11.8+0.5no bench

3Jackson

13.8+2.5no bench

4Colin

10.0-1.4bench 8.0

5George

11.6+0.2bench 9.4

6Austin

10.1-1.2bench 10.1

7Everett

10.6-0.7no bench

8Max

12.7+1.3bench 8.9

9Trevor

10.3-1.1bench 9.6

10Mark

9.3-2.1bench 8.3

FLEX

The best two RB/WR/TE left after the starters · avg 22.5

−3.4avg+3.4

1Tyler

20.1-2.5

2Padgett

25.9+3.4

3Jackson

22.0-0.5

4Colin

23.7+1.2

5George

22.6+0.1

6Austin

21.8-0.7

7Everett

22.7+0.2

8Max

20.1-2.4

9Trevor

23.8+1.3

10Mark

22.3-0.2

K

The starter · avg 6.3

−0.5avg+0.5

1Tyler

6.2-0.1

2Padgett

6.5+0.2

3Jackson

5.9-0.4

4Colin

5.9-0.4

5George

6.8+0.5

6Austin

6.6+0.3

7Everett

6.2-0.1

8Max

6.2-0.1

9Trevor

6.2-0.1

10Mark

6.6+0.3

DEF

The starter · avg 5.5

−0.7avg+0.7

1Tyler

5.4-0.1

2Padgett

5.6+0.1

3Jackson

5.1-0.4

4Colin

4.9-0.6

5George

5.0-0.5

6Austin

6.1+0.5

7Everett

6.2+0.7

8Max

5.1-0.5

9Trevor

5.6+0.1

10Mark

6.1+0.6

Show as a table

Manager	QB	QB bench	RB	RB bench	WR	WR bench	TE	TE bench	FLEX	K	DEF	Starters	Bench
1 Tyler	18.9	15.9	31.2	16.2	28.6	13.4	13.3	0.0	20.1	6.2	5.4	123.8	45.6
2 Padgett	17.4	0.0	26.5	18.0	30.7	17.6	11.8	0.0	25.9	6.5	5.6	124.5	35.6
3 Jackson	18.0	17.8	24.7	17.5	33.0	19.5	13.8	0.0	22.0	5.9	5.1	122.6	54.9
4 Colin	18.3	0.0	26.8	11.3	31.9	14.4	10.0	8.0	23.7	5.9	4.9	121.4	33.7
5 George	21.3	17.4	30.9	9.1	26.5	19.4	11.6	9.4	22.6	6.8	5.0	124.7	55.3
6 Austin	19.2	16.5	24.5	15.1	28.1	4.6	10.1	10.1	21.8	6.6	6.1	116.4	46.3
7 Everett	17.8	16.9	27.8	19.5	28.6	7.7	10.6	0.0	22.7	6.2	6.2	120.0	44.1
8 Max	18.2	15.5	34.0	19.4	26.2	9.8	12.7	8.9	20.1	6.2	5.1	122.5	53.6
9 Trevor	17.9	16.7	31.4	8.8	27.7	20.6	10.3	9.6	23.8	6.2	5.6	122.9	55.6
10 Mark	17.6	13.9	22.7	8.1	29.6	11.6	9.3	8.3	22.3	6.6	6.1	114.2	41.8

Draft Rankings (frozen)

All three sources on draft-week rosters, frozen August 28, 2026. Widest disagreement: Max, 17 points.

Manager	Consensus	GordStats	FP	FF	GordStats #	FP #	FF #
1Jackson	106.1	105.9	111.0	101.4	1	1	9
2Tyler	104.2	100.5	108.2	104.0	6	2	1
3Padgett	102.4	99.7	103.6	103.8	7	4	2
4Colin	101.3	101.0	101.5	101.3	4	5	5
5Austin	100.4	103.5	95.7	101.9	2	7	4
6Everett	98.9	100.5	97.2	99.1	5	6	6
7Trevor	98.6	98.2	94.9	102.7	9	8	3
8George	98.0	103.3	93.7	97.1	3	9	7
9Max	95.7	89.0	106.3	91.7	10	3	8
10Mark	94.4	98.3	87.8	97.1	8	10	10

GordStats is our simulation, FP the FantasyPros League Analyzer, FF The Fantasy Footballers' projected points per game (their points, not their grade-sorted rank).

Model Accuracy

Player accuracy

Correlation of projected with actual points per game, each season rebuilt from prior years only.

	2023	2024	2025	Average
Position
QB	+0.60	+0.73	+0.64	+0.66
RB	+0.66	+0.81	+0.82	+0.76
WR	+0.73	+0.75	+0.76	+0.75
TE	+0.62	+0.70	+0.75	+0.69

Roster backtest

This page, run on past draft-day rosters: projected finish vs points actually scored.

Season:

Rank correlation: -0.07.

Manager	Projected	Proj. Points	Actual	Actual Points	Wins
Trevor	1	1,803	4	1,886	17
Everett	2	1,793	10	1,658	5
George	3	1,792	3	1,891	15
Jackson	4	1,775	2	1,943	19
Austin	5	1,764	8	1,776	16
Padgett	6	1,733	9	1,752	8
Colin	7	1,728	7	1,793	10
Max	8	1,728	1	1,983	19
Tyler	9	1,693	5	1,872	14
Mark	10	1,630	6	1,834	17

Rank correlation: -0.55.

Manager	Projected	Proj. Points	Actual	Actual Points	Wins
Max	1	1,764	8	1,810	11
Everett	2	1,764	6	1,852	14
George	3	1,759	10	1,711	9
Austin	4	1,755	2	1,958	17
Trevor	5	1,738	9	1,714	13
Jackson	6	1,712	4	1,880	14
Mark	7	1,710	5	1,870	15
Padgett	8	1,689	7	1,826	14
Colin	9	1,673	1	2,030	17
Tyler	10	1,578	3	1,894	16

Rank correlation: +0.27.

Manager	Projected	Proj. Points	Actual	Actual Points	Wins
Colin	1	1,774	3	1,749	17
Jackson	2	1,709	2	1,816	20
Everett	3	1,660	9	1,556	9
Padgett	4	1,635	6	1,628	13
Max	5	1,634	1	1,833	16
Trevor	6	1,633	7	1,611	14
George	7	1,616	10	1,547	13
Mark	8	1,612	8	1,574	8
Austin	9	1,593	4	1,725	19
Tyler	10	1,546	5	1,631	11

Average over 3 seasons: -0.12. Thirty team-seasons can't separate a good roster model from a coin flip; read the rankings as a measure of what was drafted, not a forecast.