How this works
How every ranking, prediction and number here is made
Rankings and predictions
- How the CFB rankings workWhat the GordStats college football rating means, what goes into it, and how it compares with the AP poll and ESPN's FPI.
- How the CFB predictions workHow each college football game's spread, total and win chance are made, how they're graded, and how they've done.
- How the NFL rankings workWhat the GordStats NFL rating means, what goes into it, and how it compares with ESPN's FPI.
- How the NFL predictions workHow each NFL game's spread, total and win chance are made, how they're graded, and how they've done.
- How the bets record worksHow the weekly bet and parlay are picked, how they're scored in units, and why we track the closing line.
- How the playoff odds workHow we get each team's chance to make the College Football Playoff or the NFL playoffs, earn a bye and win it all.
Game day
- What a game preview showsWhat's on each college and NFL game page: our call against the book's, unit against unit, players to watch and recent form.
- How the watch guide ranks gamesHow each game's watch score is set, what moves a game up while it's on, and how Quadbox picks four games for one screen.
- What the team stats meanWhat expected points added, success rate, explosiveness and opponent adjustment mean in the college and NFL team stats tables.
Fantasy football
- How the fantasy power rankings workHow each roster is rated, and how playing the season out 10,000 times gives every team's playoff and title odds.
- How stakes and the playoff picture workWhat a game's swing means, how the game of the week is chosen, and how clinched, eliminated and magic numbers are worked out.
- How the fantasy projections workHow the GordStats weekly projection is made, how it compares with Sleeper, ESPN and FantasyPros, and how live win chances work.
- How injuries are countedHow we count a Questionable player, how long an injured player stays out, who picks up his work, and what the PT, Dr and News links are.
- How the trade analyzer worksHow a trade or a waiver pickup is judged: the rest of the season played out with and without it, with the same luck both times.
- What the usage numbers meanSnap, carry and target shares over the last three weeks and the season: who is getting the work, and where the numbers come from.
- How strength and schedule difficulty workDefense against each position, the schedule ahead for your roster, and what the schedule has cost or given each team so far.
- How the weekly recaps workWhat each award means, and how lineup accuracy measures the points left on the bench.
- How the CFB league rankings workHow the college fantasy league's rosters are ranked, and how 20,000 simulated seasons give playoff and title odds.
College basketball
- How the college basketball rankings workWhat the GORD rank and the bracketology field are made from, and what NET, WAB and the rest of the scoreboard mean.
- How the college basketball predictions workHow each college basketball game's pick, margin and win chance are made from Bart Torvik's efficiency ratings.
- How the CBB watch guide ranks gamesHow each college basketball game's watch score comes from both teams' ranks and how close the game should be.