Weekly Matchups

Updated Sat, Nov 14 · 5:52 PM ET

Week 10 Storylines

Reading the league’s history…

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Week 9 recapCCAM’s Convicts top-scored with 186.28 and The Standard left 59.10 points on the bench.Awards and lineup accuracy →

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How to Read This Page

The Median Tracker ranks every team by points so far (projected before kickoff), with its expected final and the median line through the middle. A row turns solid green or red once a team is locked above or below the median. Med is each team's margin against the week's median score, a second game the league plays every week.

GS Proj is this site's projection; Sleeper, ESPN and FP are theirs (FP's start/sit grade sits by the name), and Consensus is their average. Pts (gray) averages all four until a player's game kicks off, then shows his points. The win bars are GordStats alone. A bench player who out-projects a starter gets the swap spelled out under the table.

Projection Accuracy

Every source against what starters actually scored, over weeks 1–9. MAE is the average miss in points, Bias the average signed miss (positive = projected too high), r the correlation with the real score. Lowest MAE first.

Source	Weeks	Players	MAE	Bias	r
Consensus	1–9	896	5.98	+0.04	0.51
ESPN	1–9	896	6.01	-0.05	0.50
FantasyPros	1–9	889	6.06	+0.06	0.50
Sleeper	1–9	889	6.07	+0.10	0.50
GordStats	1–9	612	6.13	-0.70	0.45

Same players, same weeks: every source over only the starts GordStats has a pre-kickoff number for.

Source	Weeks	Players	MAE	Bias	r
Consensus	1–9	612	5.88	+0.15	0.51
ESPN	1–9	612	5.92	+0.07	0.50
FantasyPros	1–9	606	5.97	+0.15	0.49
Sleeper	1–9	606	6.00	+0.24	0.49
GordStats	1–9	612	6.13	-0.70	0.45

Week:

Game of the Week · Week 10

padgett vs Strictly Dickly

padgett 59% with a win, 30% with a loss; Strictly Dickly 62% with a win, 33% with a loss. Every team's stakes →

Week 10 · Nov 12 – Nov 16 · In progress · points as of Sat 5:43 PM

Week 10 Disagreements

Rostered players where GordStats sits furthest from every one of the 3 outside sources, ranked by the gap to the nearest. A positive gap: we like him more than they do.

Player	GS	Slpr	ESPN	FP	Cons	Gap
Rhamondre Stevenson · RBCCAM’s Convicts · BN	12.1	—	0.0	0.9	0.5	+11.6
Corey Kiner · RBFX’s The Bear(s)	3.5	11.7	10.2	10.8	10.9	-7.4
Ollie Gordon II · RBCCAM’s Convicts · FLEX	6.6	13.1	15.7	15.5	14.8	-8.1
Zach Charbonnet · RBProfessional Fratson	7.9	12.4	14.5	12.9	13.3	-5.4
Woody Marks · RBFX’s The Bear(s) · BN	8.6	12.7	14.2	12.6	13.1	-4.6
Chuba Hubbard · RBDRINK MAYE	15.1	18.6	20.0	18.8	19.2	-4.1
Konata Mumpfield · WRStrictly Dickly · BN	4.0	7.5	8.8	8.3	8.2	-4.2
Jahmyr Gibbs · RBStrictly Dickly	27.5	24.4	23.9	23.6	24.0	+3.6
Josh Allen · QB3 big balls	27.8	24.1	24.3	24.8	24.4	+3.4
Justin Jefferson · WRThe WOAT · FLEX	13.8	18.5	17.9	16.7	17.7	-3.9
Joe Burrow · QBProfessional Fratson	24.9	22.4	19.0	22.3	21.3	+3.6
Keenan Allen · WRCCAM’s Convicts · BN	11.1	6.4	8.7	8.8	8.0	+3.1

Median Tracker

FX’s The Bear(s)27.7+24.052%

The WOAT0.0-3.748%

DRINK MAYE20.3+16.665%

3 big balls27.2+23.535%

Lotta Cox (Balls Too)0.0-3.778%

The Standard0.0-3.722%

Strictly Dickly29.0+25.370%

padgett7.4+3.730%

CCAM’s Convicts0.0-3.715%

Professional Fratson0.0-3.785%

Team	Pts	Consensus	GS Proj	Med	vs	Med	GS Proj	Consensus	Pts	Team
FX’s The Bear(s)	27.7	123.5	109.0	+24.0	vs	-3.7	122.3	126.1	0.0	The WOAT
DRINK MAYE	20.3	141.6	134.8	+16.6	vs	+23.5	115.3	113.0	27.2	3 big balls
Lotta Cox (Balls Too)	0.0	128.6	130.6	-3.7	vs	-3.7	105.9	101.0	0.0	The Standard
Strictly Dickly	29.0	130.7	124.0	+25.3	vs	+3.7	120.6	130.1	7.4	padgett
CCAM’s Convicts	0.0	120.9	113.8	-3.7	vs	-3.7	146.3	144.5	0.0	Professional Fratson

FX’s The Bear(s)vsThe WOAT

FX’s The Bear(s) (Mark)9-9

27.7

Live

The WOAT (Everett)8-10

0.0

Expected finals · win chance

GordStats124.1

52%48%

122.3

Sleeper137.3

66%34%

124.5

Going in, GordStats had The WOAT by 13.3 (122.3–109.0); the consensus had 126.1–123.5.

Lifetime, Mark–Everett: regular season 5–0 (avg 136.4–109.2) · never met in the playoffs

B. YoungQB · CARat NO · Sun 1:00 PM

18.2

QB

B. PurdyQB · SFat DAL · Sun 4:25 PM

22.4

A. Jones Sr.RB · MINat GB · Sun 1:00 PM

9.0

RB

J. PriceRB · SEAsitat LV · Sun 4:05 PM

9.8

C. KinerRB · NEsitat DET · Sun 9:30 AM

9.1

RB

J. Cook IIIRB · BUFat NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM

19.5

T. McMillanWR · CARat NO · Sun 1:00 PM

15.1

WR

C. OlaveWR · NOvs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM

16.7

A. St. BrownWR · DETQplays 75%News ↗vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM

15.0

WR

D. MooreWR · BUFat NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM

12.3

I. LikelyTE · NYGL 21–24 vs WAS

27.7final

TE

H. Fannin Jr.TE · CLEvs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM

10.2

T. DellWR · HOUat CLE · Sun 1:00 PM

9.1

FLEX

J. JeffersonWR · MINat GB · Sun 1:00 PM

16.7

K. Concepcion Jr.WR · CLEvs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM

10.1

FLEX

M. WashingtonWR · MIAsitat IND · Sun 1:00 PM

8.8

C. LittleK · JAXat TEN · Sun 1:00 PM

9.8

K

HOU D/STDEFat CLE · Sun 1:00 PM

8.1

DEF

LAR D/STDEFat ARI · Sun 4:05 PM

8.7

Starters

27.7

0.0

Starters

Bench

C. WilliamsQB · CHIBye

—bye

BN

C. Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXat TEN · Sun 1:00 PM

7.6

W. MarksRB · HOUstartat CLE · Sun 1:00 PM

12.0

BN

G. BernardWR · PITstartat CIN · Sun 8:20 PM

10.4

L. Burden IIIWR · CHIQPT ↗Bye

—bye

BN

C. SantosK · CHIstartBye

—bye

S. BarkleyRB · PHIBye

—bye

BN

S. DarnoldQB · SEAOback ~Nov 29Dr ↗at LV · Sun 4:05 PM

0.0

J. JacobsRB · GBOback ~Nov 25Dr ↗vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM

0.0

BN

R. DowdleRB · PITstartat CIN · Sun 8:20 PM

9.7

BN

J. AddisonWR · MINQplays 75%News ↗at GB · Sun 1:00 PM

7.3

IR

J. LoveRB · ARIIRvs LAR · Sun 4:05 PM

0.0

FX’s The Bear(s)

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
18.2	QB	Bryce Young QB · CARB-	at NO · Sun 1:00 PM	17.3	18.9	18.8	17.7
9.0	RB	Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MINC	at GB · Sun 1:00 PM	9.1	9.3	8.5	9.0
9.1	RB	Corey Kiner RB · NEsitB-	at DET · Sun 9:30 AM	3.5	11.7	10.2	10.8
15.1	WR	Tetairoa McMillan WR · CARA	at NO · Sun 1:00 PM	14.7	15.5	16.1	14.1
15.0	WR	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DETQplays 75%News ↗A+	vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM	15.7	19.2	20.4	20.0
27.7final	TE	Isaiah Likely TE · NYGA-	L 21–24 vs WAS	12.6	12.3	12.2	13.9	9 rec (11 tgt), 127 rec yds, 1 TD
9.1	FLEX	Tank Dell WR · HOUC	at CLE · Sun 1:00 PM	9.5	7.5	10.2	9.0
10.1	FLEX	KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLEB	vs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM	8.4	10.2	10.6	11.0
9.8	K	Cam Little K · JAXA	at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM	10.4	8.9	9.8	9.9
8.1	DEF	HOU D/ST DEFA+	at CLE · Sun 1:00 PM	7.9	8.2	7.1	9.2
27.7→ 131.0		Starters		109.0	122.0	123.9	124.6
Bench
—bye	BN	Caleb Williams QB · CHI	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
12.0	BN	Woody Marks RB · HOUstartB	at CLE · Sun 1:00 PM	8.6	12.7	14.2	12.6
—bye	BN	Luther Burden III WR · CHIQPT ↗	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
—bye	BN	Saquon Barkley RB · PHI	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
0.0	BN	Josh Jacobs RB · GBOback ~Nov 25Dr ↗	vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—

Best lineup by projection: +5.1 — Woody Marks for Corey Kiner

The WOAT

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
22.4	QB	Brock Purdy QB · SFA	at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM	23.1	22.5	20.7	23.3
9.8	RB	Jadarian Price RB · SEAsitC+	at LV · Sun 4:05 PM	8.8	8.6	11.9	9.9
19.5	RB	James Cook III RB · BUFA	at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM	21.1	17.7	20.5	18.7
16.7	WR	Chris Olave WR · NOA+	vs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM	17.8	16.5	15.8	17.0
12.3	WR	DJ Moore WR · BUFA-	at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM	12.3	12.1	13.3	11.3
10.2	TE	Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLEB	vs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM	9.6	10.5	10.1	10.6
16.7	FLEX	Justin Jefferson WR · MINA	at GB · Sun 1:00 PM	13.8	18.5	17.9	16.7
8.8	FLEX	Malik Washington WR · MIAsitC	at IND · Sun 1:00 PM	7.1	9.4	8.9	9.7
—	K	empty		—	—	—	—
8.7	DEF	LAR D/ST DEFA+	at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM	8.6	8.7	8.3	9.0
125.1proj		Starters		122.3	124.5	127.5	126.2
Bench
7.6	BN	Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAXC-	at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM	8.2	7.9	6.9	7.5
10.4	BN	Germie Bernard WR · PITstartB-	at CIN · Sun 8:20 PM	8.9	11.1	10.9	10.9
—bye	BN	Cairo Santos K · CHIstart	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
0.0	BN	Sam Darnold QB · SEAOback ~Nov 29Dr ↗	at LV · Sun 4:05 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
9.7	BN	Rico Dowdle RB · PITstartC	at CIN · Sun 8:20 PM	9.7	9.9	9.8	9.2
7.3	BN	Jordan Addison WR · MINQplays 75%News ↗C+	at GB · Sun 1:00 PM	5.9	9.9	11.4	10.0
0.0	IR	Jeremiyah Love RB · ARIIR	vs LAR · Sun 4:05 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—

Best lineup by projection: +2.7 — start Germie Bernard, Cairo Santos, Rico Dowdle; sit Jadarian Price, Malik Washington

DRINK MAYEvs3 big balls

DRINK MAYE (Tyler)12-6

20.3

Live

3 big balls (George)8-10

27.2

Expected finals · win chance

GordStats144.4

65%35%

132.0

Sleeper155.6

82%18%

127.3

Going in, GordStats had DRINK MAYE by 19.6 (134.8–115.3); the consensus had 141.6–113.0.

Lifetime, Tyler–George: regular season 4–3 (avg 128.4–115.6) · never met in the playoffs

D. MayeQB · NEat DET · Sun 9:30 AM

21.7

QB

J. AllenQB · BUFat NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM

25.2

B. RobinsonRB · ATLvs KC · Sun 1:00 PM

20.5

RB

J. TaylorRB · INDvs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM

17.1

C. HubbardRB · CARat NO · Sun 1:00 PM

18.1

RB

A. JeantyRB · LVvs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM

12.8

S. DiggsWR · WASW 24–21 at NYG

20.3final

WR

D. MetcalfWR · PITat CIN · Sun 8:20 PM

11.1

N. CollinsWR · HOUat CLE · Sun 1:00 PM

14.4

WR

T. TuckerWR · LVsitvs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM

8.5

B. BowersTE · LVvs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM

15.4

TE

S. LaPortaTE · DETvs NE · Sun 9:30 AM

11.7

E. JohnsonRB · KCsitat ATL · Sun 1:00 PM

12.2

FLEX

C. SkatteboRB · NYGL 21–24 vs WAS

27.2final

B. CorumRB · LARsitat ARI · Sun 4:05 PM

11.0

FLEX

T. HockensonTE · MINOsitback ~Nov 22News ↗at GB · Sun 1:00 PM

0.0

W. ReichardK · MINat GB · Sun 1:00 PM

8.9

K

B. AubreyK · DALvs SF · Sun 4:25 PM

9.5

MIN D/STDEFat GB · Sun 1:00 PM

7.1

DEF

NO D/STDEFsitvs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM

6.1

Starters

20.3

27.2

Starters

Bench

D. KincaidTE · BUFstartat NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM

10.2

BN

O. Cooper Jr.WR · NYJQstartplays 90%PT ↗vs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM

8.8

J. TysonWR · NOvs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM

9.1

BN

D. Samuel Sr.WR · SFstartat DAL · Sun 4:25 PM

10.8

C. DouglasWR · MIAat IND · Sun 1:00 PM

9.1

BN

D. SingletaryRB · NYGL 21–24 vs WAS

0.3final

J. ColemanRB · DENBye

—bye

BN

J. WaddleWR · DENONews ↗Bye

—bye

G. WilsonWR · NYJQstartplays 90%PT ↗vs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM

11.5

BN

PIT D/STDEFstartat CIN · Sun 8:20 PM

6.4

J. Croskey-MerrittRB · WASIRW 24–21 at NYG

0.0final

IR

K. MonangaiRB · CHIOback ~Nov 22PT ↗Bye

—bye

C. TateWR · TENOback ~Nov 22PT ↗vs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM

0.0

IR

D. SmithWR · PHIOback ~Nov 22Bye

—bye

DRINK MAYE

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
21.7	QB	Drake Maye QB · NEA	at DET · Sun 9:30 AM	20.6	22.9	22.0	21.4
20.5	RB	Bijan Robinson RB · ATLA	vs KC · Sun 1:00 PM	20.9	20.5	18.6	22.0
18.1	RB	Chuba Hubbard RB · CARA	at NO · Sun 1:00 PM	15.1	18.6	20.0	18.8
20.3final	WR	Stefon Diggs WR · WASB	W 24–21 at NYG	10.7	10.3	10.3	10.9	6 rec (10 tgt), 83 rec yds, 1 TD
14.4	WR	Nico Collins WR · HOUA	at CLE · Sun 1:00 PM	15.0	15.2	13.7	13.8
15.4	TE	Brock Bowers TE · LVA	vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM	15.3	15.1	15.4	15.6
12.2	FLEX	Emmett Johnson RB · KCsitC	at ATL · Sun 1:00 PM	8.2	16.4	16.5	7.7
11.0	FLEX	Blake Corum RB · LARsitB	at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM	10.2	11.1	11.6	11.2
8.9	K	Will Reichard K · MINC+	at GB · Sun 1:00 PM	9.3	8.8	9.4	8.1
7.1	DEF	MIN D/ST DEFB	at GB · Sun 1:00 PM	9.5	6.7	5.0	7.4
20.3→ 149.7		Starters		134.8	145.6	142.4	136.9
Bench
10.2	BN	Dalton Kincaid TE · BUFstartB-	at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM	11.6	9.8	8.8	10.5
9.1	BN	Jordyn Tyson WR · NOC+	vs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM	9.4	8.1	8.6	10.2
9.1	BN	Caleb Douglas WR · MIAC+	at IND · Sun 1:00 PM	8.3	8.8	8.7	10.5
—bye	BN	Jonah Coleman RB · DEN	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
11.5	BN	Garrett Wilson WR · NYJQplays 90%PT ↗startA-	vs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM	10.9	14.3	12.7	12.7
0.0final	IR	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WASIR	W 24–21 at NYG	0.0	—	0.0	—
0.0	IR	Carnell Tate WR · TENOback ~Nov 22PT ↗	vs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—

Best lineup by projection: +4.0 — start Dalton Kincaid, Garrett Wilson; sit Emmett Johnson, Blake Corum

3 big balls

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
25.2	QB	Josh Allen QB · BUFA+	at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM	27.8	24.1	24.3	24.8
17.1	RB	Jonathan Taylor RB · INDA-	vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM	17.0	16.7	17.8	16.7
12.8	RB	Ashton Jeanty RB · LVB	vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM	12.9	12.0	13.6	12.5
11.1	WR	DK Metcalf WR · PITB+	at CIN · Sun 8:20 PM	10.3	12.4	10.6	11.1
8.5	WR	Tre Tucker WR · LVsitC	vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM	9.1	7.7	8.4	8.7
11.7	TE	Sam LaPorta TE · DETB	vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM	12.1	11.9	11.4	11.4
27.2final	FLEX	Cam Skattebo RB · NYGB	L 21–24 vs WAS	10.5	12.4	11.5	12.0	18 car, 78 rush yds, 2 TD, 3 rec (4 tgt), 44 rec yds
0.0	FLEX	T.J. Hockenson TE · MINOback ~Nov 22News ↗sit	at GB · Sun 1:00 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
9.5	K	Brandon Aubrey K · DALB	vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM	9.2	8.9	10.5	9.5
6.1	DEF	NO D/ST DEFsitC+	vs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM	6.4	6.3	4.7	6.9
27.2→ 129.2		Starters		115.3	112.4	112.9	113.6
Bench
8.8	BN	Omar Cooper Jr. WR · NYJQplays 90%PT ↗startC+	vs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM	9.8	8.5	9.5	10.4
10.8	BN	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SFstartC+	at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM	10.3	10.9	11.7	10.1
0.3final	BN	Devin Singletary RB · NYGC	L 21–24 vs WAS	5.6	8.1	7.4	7.7	1 car, 3 rush yds
—bye	BN	Jaylen Waddle WR · DENONews ↗	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
6.4	BN	PIT D/ST DEFstartC-	at CIN · Sun 8:20 PM	8.4	5.7	5.4	6.1
—bye	IR	Kyle Monangai RB · CHIOback ~Nov 22PT ↗	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
—bye	IR	DeVonta Smith WR · PHIOback ~Nov 22	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—

Best lineup by projection: +13.0 — start Omar Cooper Jr., Deebo Samuel Sr., PIT D/ST; sit Tre Tucker, T.J. Hockenson, NO D/ST

Lotta Cox (Balls Too)vsThe Standard

Lotta Cox (Balls Too) (Austin)14-4

0.0

Live

The Standard (Trevor)2-16

0.0

Expected finals · win chance

GordStats130.6

78%22%

105.9

Sleeper125.9

78%22%

100.9

Going in, GordStats had Lotta Cox (Balls Too) by 24.7 (130.6–105.9); the consensus had 128.6–101.0.

Lifetime, Austin–Trevor: regular season 4–2 (avg 136.7–113.5) · never met in the playoffs

M. StaffordQB · LARat ARI · Sun 4:05 PM

16.8

QB

J. GoffQB · DETsitvs NE · Sun 9:30 AM

18.5

T. PollardRB · TENvs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM

12.6

RB

C. McCaffreyRB · SFat DAL · Sun 4:25 PM

22.9

K. WilliamsRB · LARat ARI · Sun 4:05 PM

17.8

RB

M. LloydRB · GBsitvs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM

5.8

C. LambWR · DALvs SF · Sun 4:25 PM

21.2

WR

G. PickensWR · DALvs SF · Sun 4:25 PM

12.9

C. WatsonWR · GBvs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM

16.0

WR

T. HigginsWR · CINvs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM

17.6

T. KelceTE · KCat ATL · Sun 1:00 PM

12.0

TE

T. KraftTE · GBvs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM

9.9

K. Pitts Sr.TE · ATLvs KC · Sun 1:00 PM

8.9

FLEX

B. IrvingRB · TBsitBye

—bye

K. MitchellRB · LACat BAL · Mon 8:15 PM

6.1

FLEX

M. AndrewsTE · BALvs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM

7.0

K. FairbairnK · HOUat CLE · Sun 1:00 PM

9.6

K

SEA D/STDEFat LV · Sun 4:05 PM

8.2

DEF

BAL D/STDEFvs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM

7.6

Starters

0.0

0.0

Starters

Bench

J. BatesK · DETvs NE · Sun 9:30 AM

8.9

BN

R. OdunzeWR · CHIBye

—bye

Z. BranchWR · ATLOback ~Nov 29vs KC · Sun 1:00 PM

0.0

BN

O. HamptonRB · LACstartat BAL · Mon 8:15 PM

8.3

L. JacksonQB · BALIRback ~Dec 27PT ↗vs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM

0.0

BN

T. SmackK · GBstartvs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM

7.7

D. SwiftRB · CHIBye

—bye

BN

D. PrescottQB · DALstartvs SF · Sun 4:25 PM

18.6

B. Robinson Jr.RB · ATLIRback ~Dec 13vs KC · Sun 1:00 PM

0.0

BN

C. Godwin Jr.WR · TBBye

—bye

D. AdamsWR · LARIRback ~Nov 25PT ↗at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM

0.0

IR

K. ShakirWR · BUFstartat NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM

10.2

A. PierceWR · INDIRback ~Nov 29vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM

0.0

IR

Lotta Cox (Balls Too)

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
16.8	QB	Matthew Stafford QB · LARC	at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM	17.4	16.6	17.0	16.2
12.6	RB	Tony Pollard RB · TENB	vs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM	11.3	12.5	13.5	13.0
17.8	RB	Kyren Williams RB · LARA	at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM	17.0	17.1	18.6	18.4
21.2	WR	CeeDee Lamb WR · DALA+	vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM	22.5	19.6	20.8	21.7
16.0	WR	Christian Watson WR · GBA	vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM	16.6	15.6	15.7	16.2
12.0	TE	Travis Kelce TE · KCB+	at ATL · Sun 1:00 PM	12.1	12.7	11.6	11.6
8.9	FLEX	Kyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATLC	vs KC · Sun 1:00 PM	8.7	8.6	9.2	9.3
6.1	FLEX	Keaton Mitchell RB · LACD-	at BAL · Mon 8:15 PM	5.6	6.2	6.6	6.0
9.6	K	Ka'imi Fairbairn K · HOUB+	at CLE · Sun 1:00 PM	10.2	8.6	10.0	9.5
8.2	DEF	SEA D/ST DEFA	at LV · Sun 4:05 PM	9.3	8.5	7.0	8.1
129.1proj		Starters		130.6	125.9	129.9	130.0
Bench
8.9	BN	Jake Bates K · DETC+	vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM	10.0	8.3	9.3	8.2
0.0	BN	Zachariah Branch WR · ATLOback ~Nov 29	vs KC · Sun 1:00 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
0.0	BN	Lamar Jackson QB · BALIRback ~Dec 27PT ↗	vs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
—bye	BN	D'Andre Swift RB · CHI	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
0.0	BN	Brian Robinson Jr. RB · ATLIRback ~Dec 13	vs KC · Sun 1:00 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
0.0	IR	Davante Adams WR · LARIRback ~Nov 25PT ↗	at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
0.0	IR	Alec Pierce WR · INDIRback ~Nov 29	vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—

The Standard

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
18.5	QB	Jared Goff QB · DETsitB+	vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM	18.8	18.4	17.3	19.3
22.9	RB	Christian McCaffrey RB · SFA+	at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM	24.1	22.6	21.8	23.1
5.8	RB	MarShawn Lloyd RB · GBsitF	vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM	6.7	3.3	7.4	5.8
12.9	WR	George Pickens WR · DALA-	vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM	13.8	13.3	12.2	12.4
17.6	WR	Tee Higgins WR · CINA+	vs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM	18.9	17.1	16.2	18.2
9.9	TE	Tucker Kraft TE · GBC+	vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM	10.1	10.7	9.4	9.5
—bye	FLEX	Bucky Irving RB · TBsit	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
7.0	FLEX	Mark Andrews TE · BALF	vs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM	6.9	7.0	6.9	7.0
—	K	empty		—	—	—	—
7.6	DEF	BAL D/ST DEFA-	vs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM	6.4	8.4	7.7	7.9
102.2proj		Starters		105.9	100.9	98.9	103.2
Bench
—bye	BN	Rome Odunze WR · CHI	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
8.3	BN	Omarion Hampton RB · LACstartC	at BAL · Mon 8:15 PM	9.3	7.8	7.9	8.1
7.7	BN	Trey Smack K · GBstartD+	vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM	7.5	7.8	8.5	7.0
18.6	BN	Dak Prescott QB · DALstartB+	vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM	20.0	17.9	16.6	19.8
—bye	BN	Chris Godwin Jr. WR · TB	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
10.2	BN	Khalil Shakir WR · BUFstartC	at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM	10.7	10.1	10.2	9.7

Best lineup by projection: +21.9 — start Omarion Hampton, Trey Smack, Dak Prescott, Khalil Shakir; sit Jared Goff, MarShawn Lloyd, Bucky Irving

Strictly Dicklyvspadgett

Strictly Dickly (Max)8-10

29.0

Live

padgett (Padgett)8-10

7.4

Expected finals · win chance

GordStats127.4

70%30%

113.1

Sleeper132.0

63%37%

122.7

Going in, GordStats had Strictly Dickly by 3.4 (124.0–120.6); the consensus had 130.7–130.1.

Lifetime, Max–Padgett: regular season 4–3 (avg 137.8–131.9) · never met in the playoffs

J. DanielsQB · WASW 24–21 at NYG

22.8final

QB

J. HerbertQB · LACat BAL · Mon 8:15 PM

12.7

J. GibbsRB · DETvs NE · Sun 9:30 AM

24.9

RB

C. BrownRB · CINvs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM

14.7

D. HenryRB · BALvs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM

15.8

RB

J. WarrenRB · PITat CIN · Sun 8:20 PM

16.6

A. BrownWR · NEQplays 75%at DET · Sun 9:30 AM

8.4

WR

J. Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAat LV · Sun 4:05 PM

23.1

M. GoldenWR · GBvs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM

15.7

WR

P. WashingtonWR · JAXat TEN · Sun 1:00 PM

14.7

H. HenryTE · NEat DET · Sun 9:30 AM

9.3

TE

T. WarrenTE · INDvs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM

12.1

J. DownsWR · KCat ATL · Sun 1:00 PM

8.8

FLEX

M. NabersWR · NYGL 21–24 vs WAS

7.4final

R. WhiteRB · WASW 24–21 at NYG

6.2final

FLEX

L. McConkeyWR · LACQsitplays 65%News ↗at BAL · Mon 8:15 PM

6.6

C. BoswellK · PITat CIN · Sun 8:20 PM

9.1

K

J. MyersK · SEAat LV · Sun 4:05 PM

8.5

IND D/STDEFvs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM

6.8

DEF

Starters

29.0

7.4

Starters

Bench

E. EgbukaWR · TBBye

—bye

BN

Q. JudkinsRB · CLEstartvs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM

10.6

C. LovelandTE · CHIBye

—bye

BN

K. MurrayQB · MINOback ~Nov 29News ↗at GB · Sun 1:00 PM

0.0

K. MumpfieldWR · LARat ARI · Sun 4:05 PM

7.2

BN

J. FergusonTE · DALOback ~Nov 22PT ↗vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM

0.0

M. EvansWR · SFOback ~Nov 22News ↗at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM

0.0

BN

W. RobinsonWR · TENvs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM

9.9

J. DobbinsRB · DENBye

—bye

BN

T. AllgeierRB · ARIvs LAR · Sun 4:05 PM

8.8

BN

GB D/STDEFstartvs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM

7.3

IR

D. StriblingWR · SFIRNews ↗at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM

0.0

Strictly Dickly

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
22.8final	QB	Jayden Daniels QB · WASB	W 24–21 at NYG	16.9	18.7	17.7	18.1	249 pass yds, 3 TD, 2 INT, 11 car, 28 rush yds
24.9	RB	Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DETA+	vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM	27.5	24.4	23.9	23.6
15.8	RB	Derrick Henry RB · BALB+	vs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM	15.2	15.4	18.2	14.3
8.4	WR	A.J. Brown WR · NEQplays 75%C	at DET · Sun 9:30 AM	7.6	14.2	12.6	7.9
15.7	WR	Matthew Golden WR · GBA	vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM	14.8	15.3	17.2	15.6
9.3	TE	Hunter Henry TE · NEC+	at DET · Sun 9:30 AM	8.9	9.9	8.8	9.6
8.8	FLEX	Josh Downs WR · KCC	at ATL · Sun 1:00 PM	9.2	7.4	10.2	8.4
6.2final	FLEX	Rachaad White RB · WASB-	W 24–21 at NYG	8.6	11.0	10.9	10.5	11 car, 47 rush yds, 1 rec (2 tgt), 5 rec yds
9.1	K	Chris Boswell K · PITC+	at CIN · Sun 8:20 PM	9.1	8.3	10.5	8.4
6.8	DEF	IND D/ST DEFC	vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM	6.1	8.1	6.2	6.7
29.0→ 127.7		Starters		124.0	132.8	136.1	123.1
Bench
—bye	BN	Emeka Egbuka WR · TB	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
—bye	BN	Colston Loveland TE · CHI	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
7.2	BN	Konata Mumpfield WR · LARC-	at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM	4.0	7.5	8.8	8.3
0.0	BN	Mike Evans WR · SFOback ~Nov 22News ↗F	at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM	0.0	—	0.0	0.0
—bye	BN	J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—

padgett

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
12.7	QB	Justin Herbert QB · LACF	at BAL · Mon 8:15 PM	11.3	13.9	12.1	13.6
14.7	RB	Chase Brown RB · CINB+	vs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM	15.3	13.7	13.5	16.4
16.6	RB	Jaylen Warren RB · PITA	at CIN · Sun 8:20 PM	15.1	17.1	15.5	18.7
23.1	WR	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEAA+	at LV · Sun 4:05 PM	24.3	22.8	22.3	22.9
14.7	WR	Parker Washington WR · JAXA	at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM	14.4	14.7	14.4	15.2
12.1	TE	Tyler Warren TE · INDA-	vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM	11.3	12.7	10.6	13.7
7.4final	FLEX	Malik Nabers WR · NYGA	L 21–24 vs WAS	14.9	16.4	16.1	16.8	5 rec (7 tgt), 44 rec yds, 1 fum lost
6.6	FLEX	Ladd McConkey WR · LACQplays 65%News ↗sitC	at BAL · Mon 8:15 PM	5.7	11.7	10.4	9.5
8.5	K	Jason Myers K · SEAC	at LV · Sun 4:05 PM	8.3	8.7	9.0	7.9
—	DEF	empty		—	—	—	—
7.4→ 116.3		Starters		120.6	131.7	124.0	134.7
Bench
10.6	BN	Quinshon Judkins RB · CLEstartB-	vs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM	10.1	9.9	11.8	10.6
0.0	BN	Kyler Murray QB · MINOback ~Nov 29News ↗	at GB · Sun 1:00 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
0.0	BN	Jake Ferguson TE · DALOback ~Nov 22PT ↗F	vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM	0.0	—	0.0	1.2
9.9	BN	Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TENC	vs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM	8.5	11.3	10.3	9.6
8.8	BN	Tyler Allgeier RB · ARIC+	vs LAR · Sun 4:05 PM	7.1	9.9	8.7	9.6
7.3	BN	GB D/ST DEFstartB+	vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM	8.3	7.9	5.6	7.6
0.0	IR	De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SFIRNews ↗	at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—

Best lineup by projection: +12.7 — start Quinshon Judkins, GB D/ST; sit Ladd McConkey

CCAM’s ConvictsvsProfessional Fratson

CCAM’s Convicts (Colin)10-8

0.0

Live

Professional Fratson (Jackson)11-7

0.0

Expected finals · win chance

GordStats113.8

15%85%

146.3

Sleeper120.3

21%79%

146.1

Going in, GordStats had Professional Fratson by 32.5 (146.3–113.8); the consensus had 144.5–120.9.

Lifetime, Colin–Jackson: regular season 2–4 (avg 140.9–143.0) · never met in the playoffs

J. LoveQB · GBvs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM

17.4

QB

J. BurrowQB · CINvs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM

22.2

K. Walker IIIRB · KCOsitback ~Nov 22PT ↗at ATL · Sun 1:00 PM

0.0

RB

Z. CharbonnetRB · SEAsitat LV · Sun 4:05 PM

11.9

B. TutenRB · JAXat TEN · Sun 1:00 PM

15.9

RB

J. WilliamsRB · DALvs SF · Sun 4:25 PM

16.7

Z. FlowersWR · BALvs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM

15.0

WR

J. ChaseWR · CINvs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM

21.9

R. RiceWR · KCat ATL · Sun 1:00 PM

13.9

WR

D. LondonWR · ATLvs KC · Sun 1:00 PM

15.2

G. KittleTE · SFat DAL · Sun 4:25 PM

15.4

TE

T. McBrideTE · ARIvs LAR · Sun 4:05 PM

14.3

O. Gordon IIRB · MIAsitat IND · Sun 1:00 PM

12.7

FLEX

J. WilliamsWR · DETvs NE · Sun 9:30 AM

12.4

B. HallRB · NYJvs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM

12.3

FLEX

J. CokerWR · CARat NO · Sun 1:00 PM

11.9

S. ShraderK · INDvs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM

10.0

K

T. BassK · BUFat NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM

10.1

KC D/STDEFat ATL · Sun 1:00 PM

6.5

DEF

JAX D/STDEFat TEN · Sun 1:00 PM

8.3

Starters

0.0

0.0

Starters

Bench

D. BostonWR · CLEQplays 75%PT ↗vs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM

8.0

BN

B. AllenRB · NYJstartvs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM

8.5

K. AllenWR · SFstartat DAL · Sun 4:25 PM

8.7

BN

A. EstimeRB · NOvs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM

7.7

R. StevensonRB · NEQplays 75%PT ↗at DET · Sun 9:30 AM

3.2

BN

D. MontgomeryRB · HOUOback ~Nov 19News ↗at CLE · Sun 1:00 PM

0.0

B. StrangeTE · JAXstartat TEN · Sun 1:00 PM

9.6

BN

T. LawrenceQB · JAXat TEN · Sun 1:00 PM

20.8

P. NacuaWR · LARIRback ~Dec 20PT ↗at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM

0.0

BN

J. MasonRB · MINat GB · Sun 1:00 PM

8.5

J. HurtsQB · PHIIRBye

—bye

IR

R. HarveyRB · DENIRBye

—bye

IR

T. Etienne Jr.RB · NOQplays 80%News ↗vs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM

6.3

CCAM’s Convicts

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
17.4	QB	Jordan Love QB · GBB-	vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM	18.8	17.3	16.1	17.3
0.0	RB	Kenneth Walker III RB · KCOback ~Nov 22PT ↗sit	at ATL · Sun 1:00 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
15.9	RB	Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAXA-	at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM	15.7	14.1	17.3	16.4
15.0	WR	Zay Flowers WR · BALA	vs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM	14.6	16.4	14.6	14.6
13.9	WR	Rashee Rice WR · KCA	at ATL · Sun 1:00 PM	14.6	14.7	13.4	12.9
15.4	TE	George Kittle TE · SFA+	at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM	14.9	15.2	15.3	16.1
12.7	FLEX	Ollie Gordon II RB · MIAsitB+	at IND · Sun 1:00 PM	6.6	13.1	15.7	15.5
12.3	FLEX	Breece Hall RB · NYJB	vs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM	11.4	12.0	12.1	13.7
10.0	K	Spencer Shrader K · INDC+	vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM	9.8	10.7	10.6	8.8
6.5	DEF	KC D/ST DEFB	at ATL · Sun 1:00 PM	7.3	6.7	4.9	7.1
119.1proj		Starters		113.8	120.3	120.0	122.4
Bench
8.0	BN	Denzel Boston WR · CLEQplays 75%PT ↗B+	vs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM	6.8	10.3	12.7	11.0
8.7	BN	Keenan Allen WR · SFstartC	at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM	11.1	6.4	8.7	8.8
3.2	BN	Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NEQplays 75%PT ↗F	at DET · Sun 9:30 AM	9.0	—	0.0	0.9
9.6	BN	Brenton Strange TE · JAXstartC	at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM	9.8	9.9	9.6	9.0
0.0	BN	Puka Nacua WR · LARIRback ~Dec 20PT ↗	at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
—bye	IR	Jalen Hurts QB · PHIIR	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—

Best lineup by projection: +14.3 — start Keenan Allen, Brenton Strange; sit Kenneth Walker III, Ollie Gordon II

Professional Fratson

Pts	Slot	Player	Game	GS	Sleeper	ESPN	FP	Stats
22.2	QB	Joe Burrow QB · CINA	vs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM	24.9	22.4	19.0	22.3
11.9	RB	Zach Charbonnet RB · SEAsitB	at LV · Sun 4:05 PM	7.9	12.4	14.5	12.9
16.7	RB	Javonte Williams RB · DALA	vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM	17.5	17.2	14.8	17.3
21.9	WR	Ja'Marr Chase WR · CINA+	vs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM	22.5	19.9	22.9	22.4
15.2	WR	Drake London WR · ATLA	vs KC · Sun 1:00 PM	14.1	16.7	14.8	15.1
14.3	TE	Trey McBride TE · ARIA	vs LAR · Sun 4:05 PM	13.2	15.0	14.1	15.1
12.4	FLEX	Jameson Williams WR · DETA-	vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM	13.8	12.4	12.1	11.3
11.9	FLEX	Jalen Coker WR · CARA-	at NO · Sun 1:00 PM	11.0	13.0	11.3	12.5
10.1	K	Tyler Bass K · BUFB	at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM	11.6	8.6	11.2	9.1
8.3	DEF	JAX D/ST DEFA	at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM	9.8	8.7	6.2	8.3
144.9proj		Starters		146.3	146.1	141.1	146.3
Bench
8.5	BN	Braelon Allen RB · NYJstartC	vs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM	9.7	8.0	7.9	8.3
7.7	BN	Audric Estime RB · NOC+	vs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM	8.1	8.2	5.0	9.6
0.0	BN	David Montgomery RB · HOUOback ~Nov 19News ↗	at CLE · Sun 1:00 PM	0.0	—	0.0	—
20.8	BN	Trevor Lawrence QB · JAXA	at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM	20.6	20.7	21.5	20.5
8.5	BN	Jordan Mason RB · MINC	at GB · Sun 1:00 PM	7.1	9.4	9.2	8.4
—bye	IR	RJ Harvey RB · DENIR	Bye	0.0	—	0.0	—
6.3	IR	Travis Etienne Jr. RB · NOQplays 80%News ↗D	vs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM	8.4	8.8	10.5	1.9

Best lineup by projection: +1.8 — Braelon Allen for Zach Charbonnet