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What the Cowboys Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
30% to make the playoffs
4-5 · NFC East · Team page
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
–
1% likely
One more loss
99%
4% likely
Two or more
27%
96% likely
Winning out is rare in our runs (67 of 10,000), so its odds there are rough.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs 49ersSun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM ET | 38% | 45% | 21% | – |
| vs TitansSun, Nov 22 | 69% | 37% | 14% | – |
| vs EaglesThu, Nov 26 | 69% | 41% | 15% | – |
| at SeahawksMon, Dec 7 | 29% | 49% | 22% | – |
| at RamsSun, Dec 20 | 33% | 50% | 20% | – |
| vs JaguarsSun, Dec 27 | 29% | 49% | 22% | – |
| vs GiantsSun, Jan 3 | 55% | 48% | 8% | – |
| at CommandersSun, Jan 10 | 49% | 45% | 14% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the NFC East | 28% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 72% | 2% |
Who to Root For
Later This Season
- Browns over Giants40% if CLE wins, 23% if NYG does · CLE 40% to win · Sun, Dec 20+16pts
- Colts over Giants38% if IND wins, 23% if NYG does · IND 50% to win · Sun, Nov 29+15pts
- Eagles over Giants37% if PHI wins, 24% if NYG does · PHI 57% to win · Sun, Jan 10+13pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 30% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 14% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 6% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 3% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 1% |