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NFC East Race

2026 season · 10,000 simulations

Updated Thu, Nov 12 · 11:46 PM ET

← Every team's playoff odds

The Race iHow this works

Team	Division	Wild Card	Playoffs
Giants5-3-1 · 2-1-1 div	52%	2%	54%
Cowboys4-5 · 2-1 div	28%	2%	30%
Commanders3-5-1 · 2-2-1 div	17%	1%	18%
Eagles2-7 · 1-3 div	3%	<1%	4%

Games That Decide It iHow this works

The games left whose results move the race most, and each contender's chance either way.

1. 1Giants at CowboysSun, Jan 3 · DAL 55%

   Division Chance	If NYG Wins	If DAL Wins
   Giants	76%	31%
   Cowboys	7%	46%
   Commanders	14%	19%

2. 2Eagles at GiantsSun, Jan 10 · PHI 57%

   Division Chance	If PHI Wins	If NYG Wins
   Giants	35%	66%
   Cowboys	36%	22%
   Commanders	21%	12%

3. 3Cowboys at CommandersSun, Jan 10 · WSH 51%

   Division Chance	If DAL Wins	If WSH Wins
   Cowboys	42%	13%
   Commanders	5%	29%
   Giants	50%	53%

4. 4Giants at ColtsSun, Nov 29 · IND 50%

   Division Chance	If NYG Wins	If IND Wins
   Giants	66%	37%
   Cowboys	20%	37%
   Commanders	12%	22%

5. 5Browns at GiantsSun, Dec 20 · NYG 60%

   Division Chance	If CLE Wins	If NYG Wins
   Giants	34%	64%
   Cowboys	39%	21%
   Commanders	22%	13%

6. 649ers at GiantsSun, Dec 6 · SF 64%

   Division Chance	If SF Wins	If NYG Wins
   Giants	41%	70%
   Cowboys	34%	19%
   Commanders	20%	10%