Baltimore Ravens
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
2–1 · 9th of 32
Rated +2.7 points vs an average team · AFC North
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 10.4–6.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 11.2–5.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.136th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.0114th of 32
Success rate50.6%5th of 32
Explosive plays10.6%5th of 32
3rd down38.5%18th of 32
Red zone TD66.7%9th of 32
Giveaway rate6.1%9th of 32
Takeaway rate9.7%17th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Colts | 13 Sep | W 41–23 | +1.3 | — |
2 vs Saints | 20 Sep | L 17–24 | +8.2 | — |
3 vs Cowboys | 27 Sep | W 34–31 | +4.4 | — |
4 vs Titans | 4 Oct | proj 28–18 | +10.9 | 80% |
5 at Falcons | 11 Oct | proj 25–22 | +3.7 | 61% |
6 at Browns | 18 Oct | proj 25–20 | +4.9 | 64% |
7 vs Bengals | 25 Oct | proj 28–24 | +4.2 | 63% |
8 at Bills | 1 Nov | proj 24–28 | -4.0 | 38% |
9 vs Jaguars | 5 Nov | proj 23–25 | -1.2 | 46% |
10 vs Chargers | 16 Nov | proj 26–19 | +6.2 | 68% |
11 at Panthers | 22 Nov | proj 26–23 | +3.3 | 60% |
12 at Texans | 29 Nov | proj 22–23 | -0.7 | 48% |
14 vs Buccaneers | 13 Dec | proj 27–21 | +6.0 | 68% |
15 at Steelers | 20 Dec | proj 24–22 | +1.9 | 56% |
| 16vs Browns | 27 Dec | proj 27–18 | +8.3 | 74% |
| 17at Bengals | 31 Dec | proj 26–25 | +0.8 | 52% |
| 18vs Steelers | 10 Jan | proj 26–20 | +5.3 | 66% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.