Follow teams and keep your fantasy leagues on every device.

Sign inWhat you get

Ravens at Bills

Week 8 · Final

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET

Ravens4-3 going in
10–36Final
Bills5-1 going in

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

Highmark Stadium · Orchard Park, NY

The Call How this works

GordStats had Bills by 4.5✓, the book by 3 — 1.5 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

BAL 37%win chanceBUF 63%
GordStatsBUF by 4.563% to win · BAL 24–BUF 29
BookBUF -3O/U 54.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Bills' scoring offense (1st) meets Ravens' scoring defense (18th).
  • Ravens' run game (11th) meets Bills' run defense (24th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Ravens Offense vs Bills Defense

BAL offBUF def
EPA per play
13th+0.0325th+0.07
Pass EPA
17th+0.1023rd+0.13
Run EPA
11th-0.0524th-0.05
Success rate
15th44%28th47%
Explosive plays
9th9%16th9%
Points per drive
18th2.0325th2.45
Red zone TD
14th59%23rd66%
Third downs
14th40%22nd42%
Sacks
26th8%25th5%
Turnovers
12th9%13th12%

Ravens: 34.9 sec a snap (32nd fastest) · passes 5% less than expected

Bills Offense vs Ravens Defense

BUF offBAL def
EPA per play
3rd+0.1614th+0.00
Pass EPA
2nd+0.2613th+0.04
Run EPA
5th+0.0120th-0.07
Success rate
5th48%16th44%
Explosive plays
1st13%8th7%
Points per drive
1st3.1518th2.28
Red zone TD
7th68%24th67%
Third downs
5th45%15th40%
Sacks
11th5%19th6%
Turnovers
26th15%24th9%

Bills: 30.8 sec a snap (6th fastest) · passes 4% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Ravens

  • QBTyler Huntley+0.06 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.8 · 123 dropbacks · 16th of 32
  • RBDerrick Henry-0.14 EPA a carry · 4.0 yds · 138 carries · 28th in EPA
  • WRZay Flowers+0.56 EPA a target · 70% caught · 56 targets · 19th in EPA
  • WRRashod Bateman+0.68 EPA a target · 67% caught · 27 targets · 8th in EPA

Bills

  • QBJosh Allen+0.31 EPA a dropback · CPOE +2.7 · 225 dropbacks · 3rd of 32
  • RBJames Cook+0.07 EPA a carry · 5.2 yds · 124 carries · 5th in EPA
  • WRKeon Coleman+0.75 EPA a target · 75% caught · 24 targets · 5th in EPA

Recent Form

Ravens

  • L13–35vs Bengals−21
  • L10–13at Browns−4
  • W30–23at Falcons+9
  • W24–18vs Titans−5

Bills

  • W33–30at Raiders−5
  • W37–34at Rams+4
  • L26–29vs Patriots−7
  • W24–16vs Chargers−1

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.