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Buffalo Bills

Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET

7–1 · 2nd of 32
Rated +6.2 points vs an average team · AFC East

What the Bills need to make the playoffs →

Projected Record

SourceW–L
GordStats13.4–3.6
ESPN FPI13.5–3.5

Advanced

Offense EPA/play+0.143rd of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0318th of 32
Success rate47.5%6th of 32
Explosive plays11.9%1st of 32
3rd down44.6%6th of 32
Red zone TD64.7%9th of 32
Giveaway rate14.1%25th of 32
Takeaway rate14.0%10th of 32

Opponent-adjusted through Week 9. Every team: Team Stats.

Schedule

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OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1at TexansSep 13W 36–31+2.4*—
2vs LionsSep 17W 41–31+3.9—
3vs ChargersSep 27W 24–16+8.6—
4vs PatriotsOct 4L 26–29+4.3—
5at RamsOct 12W 37–34-1.1—
6at RaidersOct 18W 33–30+7.5—
8vs RavensNov 1W 36–10+4.5—
9at VikingsNov 9W 23–6+1.0—
10at JetsNov 15proj 30–20+11.080%
11vs DolphinsNov 22proj 32–16+16.0†89%
12vs ChiefsNov 26proj 26–22+4.363%
13at PatriotsDec 6proj 26–24+2.959%
14at PackersDec 13proj 26–24+2.858%
15vs BearsDec 19proj 28–24+4.062%
16at BroncosDec 25proj 25–23+2.558%
17at DolphinsJan 3proj 31–17+14.0†86%
18vs JetsJan 10proj 31–19+12.984%

Expected: our margin, the one on record before kickoff for a finished game. * No call was on record for that game: today's model, which has seen the result. † That number has a regular quarterback out: Dolphins without Malik Willis (vs Dolphins, at Dolphins). Win: the chance to win a game still to play.