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What the Bills Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
>99%
7% likely
One more loss
>99%
17% likely
Two or more
98%
76% likely
Win out and it is in: in the field in >99% of the 721 runs where it won every game left.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at JetsSun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | 80% | 99% | 94% | – |
| vs DolphinsSun, Nov 22 | 89% | 99% | 93% | – |
| vs ChiefsThu, Nov 26 | 63% | >99% | 96% | >99% |
| at PatriotsSun, Dec 6 | 59% | >99% | 96% | >99% |
| at PackersSun, Dec 13 | 58% | 99% | 97% | >99% |
| vs BearsSat, Dec 19 | 62% | 99% | 96% | >99% |
| at BroncosFri, Dec 25 | 58% | >99% | 96% | >99% |
| at DolphinsSun, Jan 3 | 86% | 99% | 94% | >99% |
| vs JetsSun, Jan 10 | 82% | 99% | 94% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the AFC East | 89% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 11% | 84% |
Who to Root For
Later This Season
- Chargers over Patriots99% if LAC wins, 98% if NE does · LAC 34% to win · Sun, Nov 29+1pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 98% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 74% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 43% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 24% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 14% |