Kansas City Chiefs
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
3–0 · 6th of 32
Rated +3.0 points vs an average team · AFC West
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 11.0–6.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 11.9–5.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.174th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0218th of 32
Success rate49.4%7th of 32
Explosive plays10.0%8th of 32
3rd down47.2%7th of 32
Red zone TD60.0%17th of 32
Giveaway rate6.2%10th of 32
Takeaway rate16.7%6th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Broncos | 14 Sep | W 31–10 | +2.7 | — |
2 vs Colts | 20 Sep | W 33–30 | +5.2 | — |
3 at Dolphins | 27 Sep | W 24–10 | +5.2 | — |
4 at Raiders | 4 Oct | proj 23–19 | +4.1 | 62% |
6 vs Chargers | 18 Oct | proj 24–17 | +6.6 | 69% |
7 at Seahawks | 25 Oct | proj 19–24 | -5.8 | 33% |
| 8at Broncos | 1 Nov | proj 21–21 | -0.7 | 48% |
9 vs Jets | 8 Nov | proj 27–17 | +9.9 | 77% |
10 at Falcons | 15 Nov | proj 23–19 | +4.1 | 62% |
11 vs Cardinals | 22 Nov | proj 27–19 | +7.9 | 73% |
12 at Bills | 26 Nov | proj 22–26 | -3.6 | 39% |
13 at Rams | 3 Dec | proj 21–24 | -2.9 | 41% |
14 at Bengals | 13 Dec | proj 24–23 | +1.2 | 54% |
15 vs Patriots | 21 Dec | proj 21–19 | +2.4 | 57% |
16 vs 49ers | 27 Dec | proj 23–22 | +0.9 | 53% |
| 17at Chargers | 3 Jan | proj 22–19 | +3.2 | 60% |
| 18vs Raiders | 10 Jan | proj 25–18 | +7.6 | 72% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.