Indianapolis Colts
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
1–2 · 16th of 32
Rated -0.4 points vs an average team · AFC South
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.2–8.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.0–8.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.0421st of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0625th of 32
Success rate43.0%18th of 32
Explosive plays9.5%10th of 32
3rd down40.5%16th of 32
Red zone TD66.7%11th of 32
Giveaway rate18.8%27th of 32
Takeaway rate2.9%31st of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Ravens | 13 Sep | L 23–41 | -1.3 | — |
2 at Chiefs | 20 Sep | L 30–33 | -5.2 | — |
3 vs Texans | 27 Sep | W 19–17 | -1.1 | — |
4 vs Commanders | 4 Oct | proj 27–25 | +2.3 | 57% |
5 at Steelers | 11 Oct | proj 23–24 | -1.1 | 47% |
6 vs Titans | 18 Oct | proj 28–20 | +7.9 | 73% |
7 at Vikings | 25 Oct | proj 20–25 | -5.1 | 35% |
8 at Jaguars | 1 Nov | proj 21–29 | -7.7 | 28% |
9 vs Cowboys | 8 Nov | proj 29–26 | +2.8 | 58% |
10 vs Dolphins | 15 Nov | proj 27–21 | +6.4 | 69% |
| 11at Texans | 19 Nov | proj 22–25 | -3.8 | 39% |
12 vs Giants | 29 Nov | proj 26–22 | +4.3 | 63% |
14 at Eagles | 13 Dec | proj 22–25 | -3.1 | 41% |
| 15at Titans | 20 Dec | proj 26–21 | +4.5 | 63% |
16 vs Bengals | 27 Dec | proj 27–26 | +1.2 | 54% |
17 at Browns | 3 Jan | proj 24–22 | +1.8 | 56% |
| 18vs Jaguars | 10 Jan | proj 23–27 | -4.2 | 37% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.