Cleveland Browns
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
2–1 · 29th of 32
Rated -3.9 points vs an average team · AFC North
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.9–9.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.9–10.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.0823rd of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0015th of 32
Success rate39.9%25th of 32
Explosive plays5.2%28th of 32
3rd down30.6%31st of 32
Red zone TD37.5%28th of 32
Giveaway rate6.9%12th of 32
Takeaway rate6.5%25th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Jaguars | 13 Sep | L 10–34 | -11.2 | — |
2 at Buccaneers | 20 Sep | W 23–19 | -6.4 | — |
3 vs Panthers | 27 Sep | W 21–18 | -0.7 | — |
4 vs Steelers | 1 Oct | proj 20–21 | -1.2 | 46% |
5 at Jets | 11 Oct | proj 21–21 | -0.5 | 48% |
6 vs Ravens | 18 Oct | proj 20–25 | -4.9 | 36% |
7 at Titans | 25 Oct | proj 21–20 | +0.9 | 53% |
| 8at Steelers | 1 Nov | proj 18–23 | -4.7 | 36% |
9 at Saints | 8 Nov | proj 19–23 | -3.7 | 39% |
10 vs Texans | 15 Nov | proj 18–22 | -3.9 | 38% |
12 vs Raiders | 29 Nov | proj 21–20 | +0.6 | 52% |
13 vs Bengals | 6 Dec | proj 22–24 | -2.4 | 43% |
14 vs Falcons | 13 Dec | proj 21–20 | +0.6 | 52% |
15 at Giants | 20 Dec | proj 19–22 | -2.7 | 42% |
| 16at Ravens | 27 Dec | proj 18–27 | -8.3 | 26% |
17 vs Colts | 3 Jan | proj 22–24 | -1.8 | 44% |
| 18at Bengals | 10 Jan | proj 20–26 | -5.8 | 33% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.