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Browns at Titans

Week 7 · Final

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET

Browns4-2 going in
27–24Final
Titans1-5 going in

Sun, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN

The Call How this works

GordStats had Browns by 1.9✓, the book by 2.5 — 0.6 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

CLE 56%win chanceTEN 44%
GordStatsCLE by 1.956% to win · CLE 20–TEN 18
BookCLE -2.5O/U 36.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Browns' pass defense (9th) meets Titans' passing game (28th).
  • Titans' pass rush (15th) meets Browns' pass protection (32nd).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Browns Offense vs Titans Defense

CLE offTEN def
EPA per play
25th-0.0727th+0.08
Pass EPA
24th-0.0126th+0.17
Run EPA
27th-0.1717th-0.08
Success rate
18th42%29th47%
Explosive plays
25th7%24th9%
Points per drive
31st1.6222nd2.35
Red zone TD
32nd43%21st65%
Third downs
30th32%26th44%
Sacks
32nd11%15th7%
Turnovers
16th12%8th13%

Browns: 30.9 sec a snap (7th fastest) · passes 4% more than expected

Titans Offense vs Browns Defense

TEN offCLE def
EPA per play
28th-0.0915th+0.00
Pass EPA
28th-0.089th-0.01
Run EPA
19th-0.1128th-0.01
Success rate
24th41%13th43%
Explosive plays
24th7%32nd11%
Points per drive
29th1.7113th1.99
Red zone TD
25th52%9th50%
Third downs
27th36%12th39%
Sacks
9th5%9th7%
Turnovers
19th12%14th11%

Titans: 29.9 sec a snap (2nd fastest) · passes 5% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Browns

  • QBDeshaun Watson+0.00 EPA a dropback · CPOE -0.7 · 275 dropbacks · 22nd of 32
  • RBQuinshon Judkins-0.19 EPA a carry · 3.5 yds · 90 carries · 32nd in EPA

Titans

  • QBCam Ward-0.07 EPA a dropback · CPOE -3.2 · 232 dropbacks · 27th of 32
  • RBTony Pollard-0.05 EPA a carry · 4.6 yds · 127 carries · 17th in EPA

Recent Form

Browns

  • W13–10vs Ravens+4
  • L12–17at Jets−5
  • W27–24vs Steelers+4
  • W21–18vs Panthers+4

Titans

  • W26–20at Colts+15
  • L3–26vs Texans−17
  • L18–24at Ravens+5
  • L7–12at Giants0

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.