New Orleans Saints
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
1–2 · 22nd of 32
Rated -1.9 points vs an average team · NFC South
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.8–9.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.4–8.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0413th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0523rd of 32
Success rate47.3%8th of 32
Explosive plays7.6%17th of 32
3rd down53.2%5th of 32
Red zone TD76.9%5th of 32
Giveaway rate21.2%30th of 32
Takeaway rate6.2%26th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Lions | 13 Sep | L 30–31 | -5.9 | — |
2 at Ravens | 20 Sep | W 24–17 | -8.2 | — |
3 vs Raiders | 27 Sep | L 27–35 | +4.3 | — |
4 vs Falcons | 5 Oct | proj 23–21 | +2.6 | 58% |
5 vs Vikings | 11 Oct | proj 19–22 | -3.2 | 40% |
6 at Giants | 18 Oct | proj 21–22 | -0.7 | 48% |
7 vs Steelers | 25 Oct | proj 21–22 | -1.0 | 47% |
9 vs Browns | 8 Nov | proj 23–19 | +3.7 | 61% |
10 vs Panthers | 15 Nov | proj 24–22 | +2.2 | 57% |
11 at Bears | 22 Nov | proj 20–26 | -6.5 | 31% |
12 at Bengals | 29 Nov | proj 22–26 | -3.8 | 39% |
13 vs Packers | 6 Dec | proj 23–22 | +1.0 | 53% |
| 14at Panthers | 13 Dec | proj 22–24 | -1.2 | 46% |
15 at Buccaneers | 20 Dec | proj 22–24 | -2.1 | 44% |
16 vs Cardinals | 27 Dec | proj 25–22 | +2.9 | 59% |
| 17at Falcons | 3 Jan | proj 22–22 | -0.9 | 47% |
| 18vs Buccaneers | 10 Jan | proj 24–22 | +1.4 | 54% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.