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What the Saints Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
20% to make the playoffs
3-5 · NFC South · Team page
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
–
<1% likely
One more loss
>99%
2% likely
Two or more
18%
98% likely
Winning out is rare in our runs (40 of 10,000), so its odds there are rough.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs PanthersSun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | 51% | 31% | 8% | – |
| at BearsSun, Nov 22 | 28% | 33% | 14% | – |
| at BengalsSun, Nov 29 | 30% | 33% | 14% | – |
| vs PackersSun, Dec 6 | 35% | 33% | 12% | – |
| at PanthersSun, Dec 13 | 45% | 33% | 9% | – |
| at BuccaneersSun, Dec 20 | 34% | 39% | 9% | – |
| vs CardinalsSun, Dec 27 | 68% | 27% | 11% | – |
| at FalconsSun, Jan 3 | 44% | 34% | 8% | – |
| vs BuccaneersSun, Jan 10 | 54% | 39% | 7% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the NFC South | 19% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 81% | 1% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Chiefs over Falcons21% if KC wins, 17% if ATL does · KC 63% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET+4pts
Later This Season
- Ravens over Buccaneers25% if BAL wins, 15% if TB does · BAL 33% to win · Sun, Dec 13+9pts
- Rams over Buccaneers23% if LAR wins, 15% if TB does · LAR 62% to win · Sun, Jan 3+8pts
- Lions over Buccaneers23% if DET wins, 15% if TB does · DET 59% to win · Sun, Nov 22+8pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 20% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 8% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 3% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 1% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | <1% |