Carolina Panthers
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
1–2 · 23rd of 32
Rated -2.4 points vs an average team · NFC South
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.9–10.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.0–9.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0215th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.0213th of 32
Success rate40.8%23rd of 32
Explosive plays10.1%6th of 32
3rd down36.8%22nd of 32
Red zone TD61.5%15th of 32
Giveaway rate8.6%16th of 32
Takeaway rate16.7%4th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Bears | 13 Sep | L 37–59 | -3.5 | — |
2 at Falcons | 20 Sep | W 34–3 | -4.9 | — |
3 at Browns | 27 Sep | L 18–21 | +0.7 | — |
4 vs Lions | 4 Oct | proj 25–28 | -3.0 | 41% |
6 at Eagles | 18 Oct | proj 20–25 | -5.1 | 35% |
7 vs Buccaneers | 25 Oct | proj 24–23 | +0.9 | 53% |
8 at Packers | 29 Oct | proj 22–25 | -2.9 | 41% |
9 vs Broncos | 8 Nov | proj 21–24 | -2.7 | 42% |
10 at Saints | 15 Nov | proj 22–24 | -2.2 | 43% |
11 vs Ravens | 22 Nov | proj 23–26 | -3.3 | 40% |
| 12at Buccaneers | 30 Nov | proj 23–25 | -2.5 | 42% |
13 at Vikings | 6 Dec | proj 18–25 | -7.2 | 29% |
| 14vs Saints | 13 Dec | proj 24–22 | +1.2 | 54% |
15 vs Bengals | 20 Dec | proj 25–25 | -0.8 | 47% |
16 at Steelers | 27 Dec | proj 21–24 | -3.1 | 41% |
17 vs Seahawks | 3 Jan | proj 19–27 | -7.8 | 28% |
| 18vs Falcons | 10 Jan | proj 24–22 | +2.1 | 56% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.