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Panthers at Packers

Week 8 · Final

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET

Panthers3-3 going in
19–27Final
Packers4-3 going in

Thu, Oct 29 · 8:15 PM ET · Prime Video

Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WI

The Call How this works

GordStats had Packers by 4.7✓, the book by 3.5 — 1.2 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

CAR 36%win chanceGB 64%
GordStatsGB by 4.764% to win · CAR 20–GB 25
BookGB -3.5O/U 46.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Packers' pass protection (7th) meets Panthers' pass rush (29th).
  • Packers' pass defense (5th) meets Panthers' passing game (22nd).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Panthers Offense vs Packers Defense

CAR offGB def
EPA per play
19th-0.016th-0.06
Pass EPA
22nd+0.015th-0.04
Run EPA
13th-0.0613th-0.11
Success rate
23rd41%17th44%
Explosive plays
16th8%3rd5%
Points per drive
12th2.197th1.86
Red zone TD
12th64%14th60%
Third downs
20th39%21st42%
Sacks
23rd8%12th7%
Turnovers
15th10%1st17%

Panthers: 28.5 sec a snap (1st fastest) · passes 9% more than expected

Packers Offense vs Panthers Defense

GB offCAR def
EPA per play
14th+0.0324th+0.07
Pass EPA
11th+0.1621st+0.12
Run EPA
30th-0.2619th-0.07
Success rate
25th41%22nd45%
Explosive plays
11th8%7th7%
Points per drive
19th2.0124th2.39
Red zone TD
27th52%32nd80%
Third downs
19th39%28th46%
Sacks
7th4%29th4%
Turnovers
17th12%17th10%

Packers: 31.7 sec a snap (13th fastest) · passes 1% more than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Panthers

  • QBBryce Young+0.03 EPA a dropback · CPOE -0.3 · 268 dropbacks · 18th of 32
  • RBChuba Hubbard+0.04 EPA a carry · 4.5 yds · 106 carries · 7th in EPA
  • WRTetairoa McMillan+0.41 EPA a target · 66% caught · 56 targets · 35th in EPA
  • TEDarren Waller+0.38 EPA a target · 61% caught · 23 targets · 40th in EPA

Packers

  • QBJordan Love+0.16 EPA a dropback · CPOE -0.8 · 278 dropbacks · 11th of 32
  • RBMarShawn Lloyd-0.37 EPA a carry · 2.6 yds · 53 carries · 40th in EPA
  • WRChristian Watson+0.41 EPA a target · 59% caught · 58 targets · 36th in EPA
  • TETucker Kraft+0.50 EPA a target · 73% caught · 44 targets · 26th in EPA

Recent Form

Panthers

  • L13–43vs Buccaneers−32
  • W25–14at Eagles+11
  • W32–26vs Lions+9
  • L18–21at Browns−4

Packers

  • L17–20at Lions0
  • W23–13vs Cowboys+6
  • W31–7vs Bears+26
  • W17–14at Buccaneers+4

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.