Green Bay Packers
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
1–2 · 18th of 32
Rated -1.2 points vs an average team · NFC North
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.2–9.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.5–9.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.1329th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0928th of 32
Success rate35.9%30th of 32
Explosive plays8.2%14th of 32
3rd down27.8%32nd of 32
Red zone TD41.7%27th of 32
Giveaway rate11.8%19th of 32
Takeaway rate5.9%29th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Vikings | 13 Sep | L 22–39 | -6.0 | — |
2 at Jets | 20 Sep | W 20–17 | +3.7 | — |
3 vs Falcons | 24 Sep | L 14–35 | +6.8 | — |
4 at Buccaneers | 4 Oct | proj 23–24 | -1.4 | 46% |
5 vs Bears | 11 Oct | proj 22–25 | -2.3 | 43% |
6 vs Cowboys | 18 Oct | proj 27–25 | +1.9 | 56% |
7 at Lions | 25 Oct | proj 23–28 | -5.2 | 35% |
8 vs Panthers | 29 Oct | proj 25–22 | +2.9 | 59% |
9 at Patriots | 8 Nov | proj 19–24 | -5.3 | 34% |
| 10vs Vikings | 15 Nov | proj 20–22 | -2.6 | 42% |
12 at Rams | 25 Nov | proj 20–27 | -7.2 | 29% |
13 at Saints | 6 Dec | proj 22–23 | -1.0 | 47% |
14 vs Bills | 13 Dec | proj 23–28 | -4.4 | 37% |
15 vs Dolphins | 20 Dec | proj 25–20 | +5.5 | 66% |
| 16at Bears | 25 Dec | proj 21–27 | -5.8 | 33% |
17 vs Texans | 4 Jan | proj 21–22 | -1.2 | 46% |
| 18vs Lions | 10 Jan | proj 25–27 | -1.8 | 45% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.