Minnesota Vikings
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
3–0 · 7th of 32
Rated +3.0 points vs an average team · NFC North
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 11.5–5.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.6–6.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.1225th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.201st of 32
Success rate31.7%32nd of 32
Explosive plays6.1%27th of 32
3rd down30.9%30th of 32
Red zone TD66.7%12th of 32
Giveaway rate5.9%8th of 32
Takeaway rate16.2%7th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Packers | 13 Sep | W 39–22 | +6.0 | — |
2 at Bears | 20 Sep | W 9–3 | -1.8 | — |
3 at Buccaneers | 27 Sep | W 23–16 | +2.2 | — |
4 vs Dolphins | 4 Oct | proj 25–15 | +9.8 | 77% |
5 at Saints | 11 Oct | proj 22–19 | +3.2 | 60% |
7 vs Colts | 25 Oct | proj 25–20 | +5.1 | 65% |
8 at Lions | 1 Nov | proj 23–24 | -1.0 | 47% |
9 vs Bills | 9 Nov | proj 23–23 | -0.2 | 50% |
| 10at Packers | 15 Nov | proj 22–20 | +2.6 | 58% |
11 vs 49ers | 22 Nov | proj 21–22 | -0.8 | 48% |
12 vs Falcons | 29 Nov | proj 24–17 | +7.5 | 72% |
13 vs Panthers | 6 Dec | proj 25–18 | +7.2 | 71% |
14 at Patriots | 10 Dec | proj 19–20 | -1.1 | 47% |
| 15vs Lions | 20 Dec | proj 25–22 | +2.5 | 58% |
16 vs Commanders | 27 Dec | proj 26–19 | +7.4 | 71% |
17 at Jets | 3 Jan | proj 24–17 | +6.5 | 69% |
| 18vs Bears | 10 Jan | proj 22–21 | +1.9 | 56% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.