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What the Vikings Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET

78% to make the playoffs
6-2 · NFC North · Team page
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
>99%
2% likely
One more loss
>99%
7% likely
Two or more
76%
90% likely
Winning out is rare in our runs (236 of 10,000), so its odds there are rough.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at PackersSun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | 35% | 92% | 66% | >99% |
| vs 49ersSun, Nov 22 | 33% | 91% | 68% | >99% |
| vs FalconsSun, Nov 29 | 55% | 87% | 61% | – |
| vs PanthersSun, Dec 6 | 56% | 87% | 60% | – |
| at PatriotsThu, Dec 10 | 35% | 89% | 68% | – |
| vs LionsSun, Dec 20 | 38% | 91% | 65% | – |
| vs CommandersSun, Dec 27 | 72% | 86% | 61% | – |
| at JetsSun, Jan 3 | 59% | 85% | 61% | – |
| vs BearsSun, Jan 10 | 56% | 92% | 64% | >99% |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the NFC North | 28% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 72% | 69% |
Who to Root For
Later This Season
- Bills over Bears80% if BUF wins, 75% if CHI does · BUF 62% to win · Sat, Dec 19+5pts
- Texans over Packers80% if HOU wins, 76% if GB does · HOU 48% to win · Mon, Jan 4+4pts
- Jaguars over Bears80% if JAX wins, 76% if CHI does · JAX 60% to win · Sun, Dec 6+4pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 78% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 47% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 23% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 11% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 5% |