San Francisco 49ers
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
3–0 · 5th of 32
Rated +3.8 points vs an average team · NFC West
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 11.2–5.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 13.2–3.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.431st of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0117th of 32
Success rate61.5%1st of 32
Explosive plays13.3%2nd of 32
3rd down63.0%1st of 32
Red zone TD90.9%1st of 32
Giveaway rate3.9%6th of 32
Takeaway rate7.4%22nd of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Rams | 10 Sep | W 27–7 | -0.4 | — |
2 vs Dolphins | 20 Sep | W 35–13 | +8.8 | — |
3 vs Cardinals | 27 Sep | W 36–30 | +8.9 | — |
4 vs Broncos | 4 Oct | proj 24–21 | +3.5 | 61% |
5 at Seahawks | 11 Oct | proj 21–26 | -5.0 | 35% |
6 vs Commanders | 19 Oct | proj 29–21 | +8.2 | 73% |
7 at Falcons | 25 Oct | proj 25–20 | +4.9 | 65% |
9 vs Raiders | 8 Nov | proj 27–19 | +8.4 | 74% |
10 at Cowboys | 15 Nov | proj 28–24 | +3.5 | 61% |
11 vs Vikings | 22 Nov | proj 22–21 | +0.8 | 52% |
| 12vs Seahawks | 29 Nov | proj 22–24 | -1.6 | 45% |
13 at Giants | 6 Dec | proj 25–20 | +5.0 | 65% |
| 14vs Rams | 13 Dec | proj 25–24 | +1.3 | 54% |
15 at Chargers | 17 Dec | proj 24–20 | +4.0 | 62% |
16 at Chiefs | 27 Dec | proj 22–23 | -0.9 | 47% |
17 vs Eagles | 3 Jan | proj 25–20 | +4.5 | 64% |
| 18at Cardinals | 10 Jan | proj 27–22 | +5.3 | 66% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.