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San Francisco 49ers
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET

7–1 · 4th of 32
Rated +4.0 points vs an average team · NFC West
What the 49ers need to make the playoffs →
Projected Record
| Source | W–L |
|---|---|
| GordStats | 12.8–4.2 |
| ESPN FPI | 13.4–3.6 |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.202nd of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.049th of 32
Success rate54.0%1st of 32
Explosive plays11.1%2nd of 32
3rd down52.3%2nd of 32
Red zone TD85.2%1st of 32
Giveaway rate12.0%19th of 32
Takeaway rate14.1%8th of 32
Opponent-adjusted through Week 9. Every team: Team Stats.
Schedule
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| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 10 | W 27–7 | +0.1* | — |
| 2 | Sep 20 | W 35–13 | +8.8 | — |
| 3 | Sep 27 | W 36–30 | +8.9 | — |
| 4 | Oct 4 | W 24–14 | +3.6 | — |
| 5 | Oct 11 | W 32–29 | -4.0 | — |
| 6 | Oct 19 | W 23–17 | +9.7 | — |
| 7 | Oct 25 | L 20–29 | +4.4 | — |
| 9 | Nov 8 | W 38–17 | +8.5 | — |
| 10 | Nov 15 | proj 29–24 | +4.0 | 62% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | proj 23–18 | +5.8† | 67% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | proj 22–23 | -0.4 | 49% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | proj 26–21 | +4.9 | 64% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | proj 25–23 | +1.1 | 53% |
| 15 | Dec 17 | proj 26–19 | +7.1 | 71% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | proj 23–22 | +0.2 | 51% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | proj 28–16 | +11.4† | 81% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | proj 30–19 | +11.6† | 81% |
Expected: our margin, the one on record before kickoff for a finished game. * No call was on record for that game: today's model, which has seen the result. † That number has a regular quarterback out: Vikings without Kyler Murray (vs Vikings); Eagles without Jalen Hurts (vs Eagles); Cardinals without Gardner Minshew (at Cardinals). Win: the chance to win a game still to play.