Washington Commanders
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
1–2 · 24th of 32
Rated -2.7 points vs an average team · NFC East
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.0–10.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.6–9.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0117th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0522nd of 32
Success rate39.6%26th of 32
Explosive plays5.2%29th of 32
3rd down38.1%20th of 32
Red zone TD70.0%7th of 32
Giveaway rate2.9%1st of 32
Takeaway rate9.4%20th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Eagles | 13 Sep | L 22–24 | -5.4 | — |
2 at Cowboys | 20 Sep | L 20–37 | -1.8 | — |
3 vs Seahawks | 27 Sep | W 33–31 | -10.0 | — |
4 vs Colts | 4 Oct | proj 25–27 | -2.3 | 43% |
5 vs Giants | 11 Oct | proj 24–22 | +2.0 | 56% |
6 at 49ers | 19 Oct | proj 21–29 | -8.2 | 27% |
| 8vs Eagles | 1 Nov | proj 22–24 | -2.0 | 44% |
9 vs Rams | 8 Nov | proj 22–28 | -5.2 | 34% |
| 10at Giants | 12 Nov | proj 22–24 | -1.5 | 46% |
11 vs Bengals | 23 Nov | proj 25–26 | -1.1 | 47% |
12 at Cardinals | 29 Nov | proj 24–26 | -1.3 | 46% |
13 at Titans | 6 Dec | proj 24–22 | +2.2 | 57% |
14 vs Texans | 13 Dec | proj 22–24 | -2.6 | 42% |
15 vs Falcons | 20 Dec | proj 25–23 | +1.8 | 56% |
16 at Vikings | 27 Dec | proj 19–26 | -7.4 | 29% |
17 at Jaguars | 3 Jan | proj 19–29 | -10.0 | 22% |
| 18vs Cowboys | 10 Jan | proj 27–27 | +0.4 | 51% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.