Jacksonville Jaguars
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
2–1 · 2nd of 32
Rated +5.6 points vs an average team · AFC South
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 11.4–5.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 11.2–5.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.165th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.182nd of 32
Success rate51.2%3rd of 32
Explosive plays10.0%7th of 32
3rd down54.5%4th of 32
Red zone TD88.9%2nd of 32
Giveaway rate7.4%13th of 32
Takeaway rate21.4%2nd of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Browns | 13 Sep | W 34–10 | +11.2 | — |
2 at Broncos | 20 Sep | L 13–20 | +1.1 | — |
3 vs Patriots | 27 Sep | W 35–6 | +0.9 | — |
4 at Bengals | 4 Oct | proj 26–23 | +3.7 | 61% |
5 vs Eagles | 11 Oct | proj 24–19 | +4.6 | 64% |
6 vs Texans | 18 Oct | proj 24–20 | +3.9 | 62% |
8 vs Colts | 1 Nov | proj 29–21 | +7.7 | 72% |
9 at Ravens | 5 Nov | proj 25–23 | +1.2 | 54% |
10 at Titans | 15 Nov | proj 27–17 | +10.4 | 79% |
11 at Giants | 22 Nov | proj 25–18 | +6.8 | 70% |
| 12vs Titans | 29 Nov | proj 29–15 | +13.9 | 85% |
13 at Bears | 6 Dec | proj 24–23 | +1.0 | 53% |
14 vs Steelers | 14 Dec | proj 26–18 | +8.3 | 74% |
| 15at Texans | 20 Dec | proj 23–20 | +2.2 | 57% |
16 at Cowboys | 27 Dec | proj 28–23 | +5.3 | 66% |
17 vs Commanders | 3 Jan | proj 29–19 | +10.0 | 78% |
| 18at Colts | 10 Jan | proj 27–23 | +4.2 | 63% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.