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Denver Broncos
Updated Sat, Nov 14 · 1:54 PM ET

7–2 · 10th of 32
Rated +2.7 points vs an average team · AFC West
What the Broncos need to make the playoffs →
Projected Record
| Source | W–L |
|---|---|
| GordStats | 12.1–4.9 |
| ESPN FPI | 12.5–4.5 |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0313th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.058th of 32
Success rate40.7%27th of 32
Explosive plays6.4%29th of 32
3rd down32.7%32nd of 32
Red zone TD63.0%11th of 32
Giveaway rate6.3%3rd of 32
Takeaway rate12.1%13th of 32
Opponent-adjusted through Week 9. Every team: Team Stats.
Schedule
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| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 14 | L 10–31 | -1.1* | — |
| 2 | Sep 20 | W 20–13 | -1.1 | — |
| 3 | Sep 27 | W 30–26 | -1.3 | — |
| 4 | Oct 4 | L 14–24 | -3.6 | — |
| 5 | Oct 11 | W 23–17 | +1.8 | — |
| 6 | Oct 15 | W 17–14 | -2.9 | — |
| 7 | Oct 25 | W 30–16 | +5.1 | — |
| 8 | Nov 1 | W 28–24 | +0.9 | — |
| 9 | Nov 8 | W 26–21 | +4.2 | — |
| 11 | Nov 22 | proj 28–19 | +8.4 | 74% |
| 12 | Nov 27 | proj 22–20 | +0.7 | 52% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | proj 27–14 | +12.5† | 83% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | proj 26–18 | +7.5 | 72% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | proj 27–20 | +6.5 | 69% |
| 16 | Dec 25 | proj 23–25 | -2.5 | 42% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | proj 21–22 | -0.6 | 48% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | proj 24–17 | +7.7 | 72% |
Expected: our margin, the one on record before kickoff for a finished game. * No call was on record for that game: today's model, which has seen the result. † That number has a regular quarterback out: Dolphins without Malik Willis (vs Dolphins). Win: the chance to win a game still to play.