Denver Broncos
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
2–1 · 12th of 32
Rated +2.0 points vs an average team · AFC West
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.9–7.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 9.4–7.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.0319th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.0410th of 32
Success rate41.1%22nd of 32
Explosive plays8.0%15th of 32
3rd down37.1%21st of 32
Red zone TD66.7%10th of 32
Giveaway rate13.3%22nd of 32
Takeaway rate12.1%13th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Chiefs | 14 Sep | L 10–31 | -2.7 | — |
2 vs Jaguars | 20 Sep | W 20–13 | -1.1 | — |
3 vs Rams | 27 Sep | W 30–26 | -1.3 | — |
4 at 49ers | 4 Oct | proj 21–24 | -3.5 | 39% |
5 at Chargers | 11 Oct | proj 22–20 | +2.2 | 57% |
6 vs Seahawks | 15 Oct | proj 20–23 | -3.4 | 40% |
7 at Cardinals | 25 Oct | proj 25–21 | +3.5 | 60% |
| 8vs Chiefs | 1 Nov | proj 21–21 | +0.7 | 52% |
9 at Panthers | 8 Nov | proj 24–21 | +2.7 | 58% |
11 vs Raiders | 22 Nov | proj 25–18 | +6.6 | 69% |
12 at Steelers | 27 Nov | proj 22–20 | +1.3 | 54% |
13 vs Dolphins | 6 Dec | proj 26–17 | +8.8 | 75% |
14 at Jets | 13 Dec | proj 24–19 | +5.5 | 66% |
| 15at Raiders | 20 Dec | proj 23–20 | +3.1 | 59% |
16 vs Bills | 25 Dec | proj 24–25 | -1.2 | 46% |
17 at Patriots | 3 Jan | proj 19–21 | -2.1 | 44% |
| 18vs Chargers | 10 Jan | proj 23–18 | +5.6 | 67% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.