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What the Broncos Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
>99%
5% likely
One more loss
>99%
14% likely
Two or more
90%
81% likely
Win out and it is in: in the field in >99% of the 496 runs where it won every game left.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RaidersSun, Nov 22 | 74% | 97% | 79% | – |
| at SteelersFri, Nov 27 | 52% | 98% | 86% | >99% |
| vs DolphinsSun, Dec 6 | 83% | 96% | 81% | – |
| at JetsSun, Dec 13 | 72% | 96% | 82% | – |
| at RaidersSun, Dec 20 | 69% | 97% | 81% | >99% |
| vs BillsFri, Dec 25 | 42% | 98% | 88% | >99% |
| at PatriotsSun, Jan 3 | 44% | 98% | 86% | >99% |
| vs ChargersSun, Jan 10 | 67% | 96% | 83% | >99% |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the AFC West | 58% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 42% | 81% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Lions over Patriots93% if DET wins, 91% if NE does · DET 53% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET+2pts
Later This Season
- Titans over Raiders94% if TEN wins, 91% if LV does · TEN 42% to win · Sun, Dec 27+4pts
- Cardinals over Raiders93% if ARI wins, 91% if LV does · ARI 41% to win · Sun, Jan 3+3pts
- Vikings over Patriots93% if MIN wins, 91% if NE does · MIN 35% to win · Thu, Dec 10+3pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 92% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 53% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 25% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 11% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 6% |