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New England Patriots
Updated Sat, Nov 14 · 1:54 PM ET
5–4 · 14th of 32
Rated +2.3 points vs an average team · AFC East
What the Patriots need to make the playoffs →
Projected Record
| Source | W–L |
|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.7–7.3 |
| ESPN FPI | 9.3–7.6 |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0512th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.0217th of 32
Success rate46.4%10th of 32
Explosive plays9.3%8th of 32
3rd down41.5%11th of 32
Red zone TD56.0%19th of 32
Giveaway rate19.6%32nd of 32
Takeaway rate8.3%28th of 32
Opponent-adjusted through Week 9. Every team: Team Stats.
Schedule
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| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Seahawks | Sep 9 | L 10–13 | -4.1* | — |
2 vs Steelers | Sep 20 | W 20–3 | +5.7 | — |
3 at Jaguars | Sep 27 | L 6–35 | -0.9 | — |
4 at Bills | Oct 4 | W 29–26 | -4.3 | — |
5 vs Raiders | Oct 11 | W 45–17 | +7.0 | — |
6 vs Jets | Oct 18 | W 26–19 | +10.2 | — |
7 at Bears | Oct 22 | L 24–30 | +0.5 | — |
8 at Dolphins | Nov 1 | W 24–19 | +6.9 | — |
9 vs Packers | Nov 8 | L 27–45 | +3.2 | — |
10 vs Lions | Nov 15 | proj 24–25 | -1.0 | 47% |
12 at Chargers | Nov 29 | proj 24–19 | +5.4 | 66% |
| 13vs Bills | Dec 6 | proj 24–26 | -2.9 | 41% |
14 vs Vikings | Dec 10 | proj 22–17 | +5.1† | 65% |
15 at Chiefs | Dec 21 | proj 21–22 | -1.5 | 45% |
| 16at Jets | Dec 27 | proj 26–19 | +7.1 | 71% |
17 vs Broncos | Jan 3 | proj 22–21 | +0.6 | 52% |
| 18vs Dolphins | Jan 10 | proj 28–15 | +12.1† | 82% |
Expected: our margin, the one on record before kickoff for a finished game. * No call was on record for that game: today's model, which has seen the result. † That number has a regular quarterback out: Vikings without Kyler Murray (vs Vikings); Dolphins without Malik Willis (vs Dolphins). Win: the chance to win a game still to play.