Follow teams and keep your fantasy leagues on every device.

Sign inWhat you get

Jets at Patriots

Week 6 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 26 · 11:39 AM ET

Jets2-3 going in
19–26Final
Patriots3-2 going in

Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

Gillette Stadium · Foxborough, MA

The Call How this works

GordStats had Patriots by 10.2✓, the book by 7.5 — 2.7 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

NYJ 22%win chanceNE 78%
GordStatsNE by 10.278% to win · NYJ 16–NE 26
BookNE -7.5O/U 43.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Jets' run defense (7th) meets Patriots' run game (27th).
  • Patriots' pass rush (11th) meets Jets' pass protection (29th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense

NYJ offNE def
EPA per play
22nd-0.0213th-0.01
Pass EPA
18th+0.0720th+0.09
Run EPA
22nd-0.1412th-0.11
Success rate
13th45%11th43%
Explosive plays
9th9%22nd9%
Points per drive
20th1.9612th1.99
Red zone TD
27th47%12th55%
Third downs
23rd38%8th37%
Sacks
29th9%11th7%
Turnovers
9th7%19th10%

Jets: 34.0 sec a snap (29th fastest) · passes 3% less than expected

Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense

NE offNYJ def
EPA per play
11th+0.0616th+0.01
Pass EPA
6th+0.2124th+0.13
Run EPA
27th-0.187th-0.17
Success rate
10th46%23rd45%
Explosive plays
15th8%14th8%
Points per drive
16th2.1218th2.14
Red zone TD
22nd52%13th56%
Third downs
13th40%12th39%
Sacks
14th5%5th8%
Turnovers
31st19%16th10%

Patriots: 32.0 sec a snap (17th fastest) · passes 2% more than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Jets

  • QBGeno Smith+0.07 EPA a dropback · CPOE +5.2 · 224 dropbacks · 18th of 34
  • RBBraelon Allen-0.01 EPA a carry · 4.7 yds · 87 carries · 16th in EPA
  • WRGarrett Wilson+0.51 EPA a target · 73% caught · 49 targets · 26th in EPA

Patriots

  • QBDrake Maye+0.25 EPA a dropback · CPOE +6.2 · 230 dropbacks · 8th of 34
  • RBRhamondre Stevenson-0.05 EPA a carry · 3.9 yds · 72 carries · 19th in EPA
  • TEHunter Henry+0.60 EPA a target · 83% caught · 30 targets · 15th in EPA
  • WRDeMario Douglas+0.42 EPA a target · 70% caught · 30 targets · 36th in EPA

Recent Form

Jets

  • W17–12vs Browns+5
  • L12–23at Bears−1
  • L24–31at Lions+2
  • L17–20vs Packers+1

Patriots

  • W45–17vs Raiders+21
  • W29–26at Bills+7
  • L6–35at Jaguars−28
  • W20–3vs Steelers+11

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.