Miami Dolphins

Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET

0–3 · 30th of 32
Rated -5.0 points vs an average team · AFC East

Projected record

SourceW–LHow
GordStats4.7–12.3Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left
ESPN FPI3.0–14.0ESPN's simulation of the full schedule

Advanced

Offense EPA/play-0.0924th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.2832nd of 32
Success rate35.3%31st of 32
Explosive plays7.0%23rd of 32
3rd down41.5%14th of 32
Red zone TD28.6%31st of 32
Giveaway rate14.3%23rd of 32
Takeaway rate11.1%14th of 32

EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.

Schedule

OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1at Raiders13 SepL 13–27-3.9—
2at 49ers20 SepL 13–35-8.8—
3vs Chiefs27 SepL 10–24-5.2—
4at Vikings4 Octproj 15–25-9.823%
5vs Bengals11 Octproj 22–26-3.440%
7at Jets25 Octproj 21–23-1.645%
8vs Patriots1 Novproj 18–23-5.733%
9vs Lions8 Novproj 22–28-5.634%
10at Colts15 Novproj 21–27-6.431%
11at Bills22 Novproj 19–30-11.619%
12vs Jets29 Novproj 23–21+1.956%
13at Broncos6 Decproj 17–26-8.825%
14vs Bears13 Decproj 20–26-6.132%
15at Packers20 Decproj 20–25-5.534%
16vs Chargers27 Decproj 20–22-1.446%
17vs Bills3 Janproj 20–29-8.227%
18at Patriots10 Janproj 16–25-9.124%

Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.