Miami Dolphins
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET

0–3 · 30th of 32
Rated -5.0 points vs an average team · AFC East
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.7–12.3 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 3.0–14.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.0924th of 32
Defense EPA/play+0.2832nd of 32
Success rate35.3%31st of 32
Explosive plays7.0%23rd of 32
3rd down41.5%14th of 32
Red zone TD28.6%31st of 32
Giveaway rate14.3%23rd of 32
Takeaway rate11.1%14th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 Sep | L 13–27 | -3.9 | — |
| 2 | 20 Sep | L 13–35 | -8.8 | — |
| 3 | 27 Sep | L 10–24 | -5.2 | — |
| 4 | 4 Oct | proj 15–25 | -9.8 | 23% |
| 5 | 11 Oct | proj 22–26 | -3.4 | 40% |
| 7 | 25 Oct | proj 21–23 | -1.6 | 45% |
| 8 | 1 Nov | proj 18–23 | -5.7 | 33% |
| 9 | 8 Nov | proj 22–28 | -5.6 | 34% |
| 10 | 15 Nov | proj 21–27 | -6.4 | 31% |
| 11 | 22 Nov | proj 19–30 | -11.6 | 19% |
| 12 | 29 Nov | proj 23–21 | +1.9 | 56% |
| 13 | 6 Dec | proj 17–26 | -8.8 | 25% |
| 14 | 13 Dec | proj 20–26 | -6.1 | 32% |
| 15 | 20 Dec | proj 20–25 | -5.5 | 34% |
| 16 | 27 Dec | proj 20–22 | -1.4 | 46% |
| 17 | 3 Jan | proj 20–29 | -8.2 | 27% |
| 18 | 10 Jan | proj 16–25 | -9.1 | 24% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.