Los Angeles Chargers
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
0–3 · 21st of 32
Rated -1.8 points vs an average team · AFC West
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.6–11.4 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.9–11.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.1430th of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.0311th of 32
Success rate42.5%20th of 32
Explosive plays7.5%20th of 32
3rd down35.1%24th of 32
Red zone TD55.6%19th of 32
Giveaway rate17.6%25th of 32
Takeaway rate18.2%3rd of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Cardinals | 13 Sep | L 14–26 | +3.0 | — |
2 vs Raiders | 20 Sep | L 14–26 | +6.4 | — |
3 at Bills | 27 Sep | L 16–24 | -8.6 | — |
4 at Seahawks | 4 Oct | proj 16–26 | -10.7 | 21% |
5 vs Broncos | 11 Oct | proj 20–22 | -2.2 | 43% |
6 at Chiefs | 18 Oct | proj 17–24 | -6.6 | 31% |
8 at Rams | 1 Nov | proj 18–26 | -7.8 | 28% |
9 vs Texans | 8 Nov | proj 19–21 | -1.8 | 45% |
10 at Ravens | 16 Nov | proj 19–26 | -6.2 | 32% |
11 vs Jets | 22 Nov | proj 24–19 | +5.0 | 65% |
12 vs Patriots | 29 Nov | proj 19–21 | -2.5 | 42% |
13 at Buccaneers | 6 Dec | proj 21–23 | -2.0 | 44% |
| 14at Raiders | 13 Dec | proj 20–21 | -0.7 | 48% |
15 vs 49ers | 17 Dec | proj 20–24 | -4.0 | 38% |
16 at Dolphins | 27 Dec | proj 22–20 | +1.4 | 54% |
| 17vs Chiefs | 3 Jan | proj 19–22 | -3.2 | 40% |
| 18at Broncos | 10 Jan | proj 18–23 | -5.6 | 33% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.