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Chargers at Seahawks

Week 4 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 12 · 5:44 AM ET

Chargers0-3 going in
23–30Final
Seahawks2-1 going in

Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · CBS

Lumen Field · Seattle, WA

The Call How this works

GordStats had Seahawks by 10.7✓, the book by 7: a lean to Seahawks -7push.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

LAC 21%win chanceSEA 79%
GordStatsSEA by 10.779% to win · LAC 16–SEA 26
BookSEA -7O/U 42.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Seahawks' defense (2nd) meets Chargers' offense (32nd).
  • Chargers' third-down defense (5th) meets Seahawks' third-down offense (31st).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Chargers Offense vs Seahawks Defense

LAC offSEA def
EPA per play
32nd-0.222nd-0.17
Pass EPA
30th-0.163rd-0.06
Run EPA
29th-0.281st-0.29
Success rate
29th38%2nd37%
Explosive plays
24th7%2nd5%
Points per drive
31st1.403rd1.61
Red zone TD
14th62%29th75%
Third downs
26th35%3rd29%
Sacks
31st10%8th8%
Turnovers
31st20%6th16%

Chargers: 32.1 sec a snap (17th fastest) · passes 13% less than expected

Seahawks Offense vs Chargers Defense

SEA offLAC def
EPA per play
27th-0.0911th-0.04
Pass EPA
16th+0.1013th+0.02
Run EPA
32nd-0.3517th-0.09
Success rate
22nd41%15th43%
Explosive plays
12th9%20th8%
Points per drive
12th2.2319th2.15
Red zone TD
16th61%11th55%
Third downs
31st30%5th32%
Sacks
20th7%12th7%
Turnovers
23rd15%8th14%

Seahawks: 34.9 sec a snap (30th fastest) · passes 5% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Chargers

  • QBJustin Herbert-0.18 EPA a dropback · CPOE -5.0 · 154 dropbacks · 29th of 31
  • RBOmarion Hampton-0.32 EPA a carry · 3.6 yds · 69 carries · 39th in EPA
  • WRLadd McConkey+0.60 EPA a target · 67% caught · 15 targets · 22nd in EPA

Seahawks

  • QBSam Darnold-0.10 EPA a dropback · CPOE +2.8 · 107 dropbacks · 26th of 31
  • RBEmanuel Wilson-0.28 EPA a carry · 3.2 yds · 58 carries · 38th in EPA
  • WRJaxon Smith-Njigba+0.69 EPA a target · 73% caught · 49 targets · 16th in EPA
  • WRCooper Kupp+0.45 EPA a target · 73% caught · 15 targets · 35th in EPA

Recent Form

Chargers

  • L16-24at Bills+1
  • L14-26vs Raiders−18
  • L14-26vs Cardinals—

Seahawks

  • L31-33at Commanders−12
  • W31-7at Cardinals+17
  • W13-10vs Patriots—

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.