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Chargers at Rams

Week 8 · Final

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET

Chargers0-6 going in
9–24Final
Rams3-4 going in

Sun, Nov 1 · 4:05 PM ET · Fox

SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA

The Call How this works

GordStats had Rams by 7.1✓, the book by 6.5 — 0.6 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

LAC 29%win chanceLAR 71%
GordStatsLAR by 7.171% to win · LAC 18–LAR 26
BookLAR -6.5O/U 45.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Rams' defense (5th) meets Chargers' offense (32nd).
  • Rams' run game (8th) meets Chargers' run defense (26th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Chargers Offense vs Rams Defense

LAC offLAR def
EPA per play
32nd-0.265th-0.07
Pass EPA
32nd-0.2212th+0.01
Run EPA
32nd-0.307th-0.16
Success rate
32nd35%8th42%
Explosive plays
29th7%9th7%
Points per drive
32nd1.219th1.92
Red zone TD
29th47%6th43%
Third downs
28th35%6th32%
Sacks
29th9%27th4%
Turnovers
32nd20%22nd10%

Chargers: 31.8 sec a snap (14th fastest) · passes 11% less than expected

Rams Offense vs Chargers Defense

LAR offLAC def
EPA per play
10th+0.0610th-0.04
Pass EPA
14th+0.1210th+0.00
Run EPA
8th-0.0326th-0.04
Success rate
4th49%23rd45%
Explosive plays
10th9%25th9%
Points per drive
11th2.2617th2.16
Red zone TD
4th69%11th52%
Third downs
7th44%4th31%
Sacks
6th4%21st6%
Turnovers
24th14%12th12%

Rams: 31.3 sec a snap (8th fastest) · passes 6% more than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Chargers

  • QBJustin Herbert-0.24 EPA a dropback · CPOE -5.1 · 214 dropbacks · 32nd of 32
  • RBOmarion Hampton-0.35 EPA a carry · 3.4 yds · 85 carries · 39th in EPA

Rams

  • QBMatthew Stafford+0.12 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.5 · 296 dropbacks · 14th of 32
  • RBKyren Williams+0.02 EPA a carry · 5.0 yds · 89 carries · 10th in EPA
  • WRDavante Adams+0.48 EPA a target · 61% caught · 46 targets · 27th in EPA

Recent Form

Chargers

  • L6–22at Chiefs−10
  • L17–23vs Broncos−4
  • L23–30at Seahawks+4
  • L16–24at Bills+1

Rams

  • W35–21at Raiders+8
  • L16–18vs Cardinals−13
  • L34–37vs Bills−4
  • W24–20at Eagles+3

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.