Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Updated Wed, Sep 30 · 7:15 PM ET
0–3 · 20th of 32
Rated -1.6 points vs an average team · NFC South
Projected record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.6–10.4 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.5–11.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.2131st of 32
Defense EPA/play-0.095th of 32
Success rate36.8%29th of 32
Explosive plays6.5%25th of 32
3rd down32.6%28th of 32
Red zone TD30.0%30th of 32
Giveaway rate20.6%29th of 32
Takeaway rate6.2%27th of 32
EPA is opponent-adjusted through Week 3, garbage time out; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Bengals | 13 Sep | L 27–33 | -3.5 | — |
2 vs Browns | 20 Sep | L 19–23 | +6.4 | — |
3 vs Vikings | 27 Sep | L 16–23 | -2.2 | — |
4 vs Packers | 4 Oct | proj 24–23 | +1.4 | 54% |
5 at Cowboys | 8 Oct | proj 25–27 | -1.9 | 44% |
6 vs Steelers | 18 Oct | proj 23–22 | +1.1 | 53% |
7 at Panthers | 25 Oct | proj 23–24 | -0.9 | 47% |
8 vs Falcons | 1 Nov | proj 24–21 | +2.9 | 59% |
9 at Bears | 8 Nov | proj 21–27 | -6.1 | 32% |
11 at Lions | 22 Nov | proj 23–29 | -5.6 | 34% |
| 12vs Panthers | 30 Nov | proj 25–23 | +2.5 | 58% |
13 vs Chargers | 6 Dec | proj 23–21 | +2.0 | 56% |
14 at Ravens | 13 Dec | proj 21–27 | -6.0 | 32% |
15 vs Saints | 20 Dec | proj 24–22 | +2.1 | 56% |
| 16at Falcons | 27 Dec | proj 22–23 | -0.5 | 48% |
17 vs Rams | 3 Jan | proj 22–26 | -4.1 | 38% |
| 18at Saints | 10 Jan | proj 22–24 | -1.4 | 46% |
Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff. Win is the chance of winning a game still to play. How it has done: predictions.