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What the Buccaneers Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
>99%
3% likely
One more loss
99%
11% likely
Two or more
36%
86% likely
Win out and it is in: in the field in >99% of the 343 runs where it won every game left.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at LionsSun, Nov 22 | 41% | 60% | 34% | >99% |
| vs PanthersMon, Nov 30 | 64% | 59% | 18% | – |
| vs ChargersSun, Dec 6 | 68% | 53% | 26% | – |
| at RavensSun, Dec 13 | 67% | 56% | 31% | 99% |
| vs SaintsSun, Dec 20 | 66% | 58% | 19% | – |
| at FalconsSun, Dec 27 | 48% | 61% | 23% | 99% |
| vs RamsSun, Jan 3 | 38% | 59% | 33% | 99% |
| at SaintsSun, Jan 10 | 46% | 60% | 20% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the NFC South | 44% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 56% | 1% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Chiefs over Falcons48% if KC wins, 40% if ATL does · KC 63% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET+8pts
Later This Season
- Vikings over Panthers48% if MIN wins, 37% if CAR does · MIN 56% to win · Sun, Dec 6+11pts
- Bengals over Saints48% if CIN wins, 37% if NO does · CIN 70% to win · Sun, Nov 29+10pts
- Cardinals over Saints50% if ARI wins, 41% if NO does · ARI 32% to win · Sun, Dec 27+9pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 45% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 22% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 10% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 4% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 2% |