Follow teams and keep your fantasy leagues on every device.

Sign inWhat you get

Seahawks at Broncos

Week 6 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 26 · 11:39 AM ET

Seahawks3-2 going in
14–17Final/OT
Broncos3-2 going in

Thu, Oct 15 · 8:15 PM ET · Prime Video

Empower Field at Mile High · Denver, CO

The Call How this works

GordStats had Seahawks by 2.9✗, the book by 2.5 — they agree, no lean.

On the total, GordStats said 44 to the book's 40.5: a lean to the Over✗.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

SEA 59%win chanceDEN 41%
GordStatsSEA by 2.959% to win · SEA 23–DEN 21
BookSEA -2.5O/U 40.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Seahawks' third-down defense (2nd) meets Broncos' third-down offense (31st).
  • Broncos' defense (4th) meets Seahawks' offense (26th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Seahawks Offense vs Broncos Defense

SEA offDEN def
EPA per play
26th-0.064th-0.08
Pass EPA
16th+0.103rd-0.07
Run EPA
32nd-0.3026th-0.05
Success rate
23rd42%3rd40%
Explosive plays
12th8%11th7%
Points per drive
17th2.104th1.78
Red zone TD
23rd52%5th43%
Third downs
19th39%21st42%
Sacks
18th6%8th7%
Turnovers
29th16%11th13%

Seahawks: 34.6 sec a snap (30th fastest) · passes 8% less than expected

Broncos Offense vs Seahawks Defense

DEN offSEA def
EPA per play
19th-0.012nd-0.14
Pass EPA
21st+0.024th-0.07
Run EPA
14th-0.091st-0.23
Success rate
29th38%2nd36%
Explosive plays
28th6%1st4%
Points per drive
27th1.832nd1.45
Red zone TD
14th60%31st79%
Third downs
31st31%2nd28%
Sacks
6th4%10th7%
Turnovers
7th7%10th13%

Broncos: 31.5 sec a snap (14th fastest) · passes 1% more than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Seahawks

  • QBSam Darnold-0.01 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.8 · 192 dropbacks · 24th of 34
  • RBEmanuel Wilson-0.22 EPA a carry · 3.2 yds · 85 carries · 35th in EPA
  • WRJaxon Smith-Njigba+0.75 EPA a target · 74% caught · 77 targets · 6th in EPA

Broncos

  • QBBo Nix-0.03 EPA a dropback · CPOE -1.2 · 212 dropbacks · 27th of 34
  • RBJ.K. Dobbins-0.17 EPA a carry · 3.4 yds · 87 carries · 31st in EPA

Recent Form

Seahawks

  • L29–32vs 49ers−7
  • W30–23vs Chargers−4
  • L31–33at Commanders−12
  • W31–7at Cardinals+17

Broncos

  • W23–17at Chargers+4
  • L14–24at 49ers−6
  • W30–26vs Rams+5
  • W20–13vs Jaguars+8

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.