Follow teams and keep your fantasy leagues on every device.

Sign inWhat you get

Jaguars at Titans

Week 10 preview

Updated Sat, Nov 14 · 11:40 AM ET

Jaguars6-2
at
Titans1-7

Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET · Fox

Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN

53° Partly sunny

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Jaguars by 12.9, the book by 10.5 — 2.4 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

JAX 84%win chanceTEN 16%
GordStatsJAX by 12.984% to win · JAX 29–TEN 16
DraftKingsJAX -10.5O/U 46.5
ESPNJAX 84%win chance
Watch score50

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Jaguars' defense (3rd) meets Titans' offense (28th).
  • Jaguars' passing game (3rd) meets Titans' pass defense (26th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Jaguars Offense vs Titans Defense

JAX offTEN def
EPA per play
4th+0.1326th+0.08
Pass EPA
3rd+0.2426th+0.17
Run EPA
6th-0.0118th-0.08
Success rate
9th47%30th47%
Explosive plays
4th10%24th9%
Points per drive
4th2.7722nd2.35
Red zone TD
8th65%20th65%
Third downs
3rd47%25th44%
Sacks
11th5%14th7%
Turnovers
6th8%11th13%

Jaguars: 32.4 sec a snap (20th fastest) · passes 1% less than expected

Titans Offense vs Jaguars Defense

TEN offJAX def
EPA per play
28th-0.103rd-0.15
Pass EPA
27th-0.084th-0.07
Run EPA
18th-0.111st-0.23
Success rate
26th41%5th41%
Explosive plays
25th7%3rd5%
Points per drive
27th1.712nd1.48
Red zone TD
23rd52%4th41%
Third downs
25th36%7th34%
Sacks
8th5%19th6%
Turnovers
21st12%3rd17%

Titans: 30.0 sec a snap (2nd fastest) · passes 6% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Jaguars

  • QBTrevor Lawrence+0.30 EPA a dropback · CPOE +3.2 · 241 dropbacks · 3rd of 31
  • RBBhayshul Tuten-0.02 EPA a carry · 4.4 yds · 112 carries · 13th of 38
  • WRParker Washington+0.44 EPA a target · 54% caught · 54 targets · 26th in EPA
  • TEBrenton Strange+0.40 EPA a target · 81% caught · 37 targets · 34th in EPA

Titans

  • QBCam Ward-0.07 EPA a dropback · CPOE -3.2 · 232 dropbacks · 27th of 31
  • RBTony Pollard-0.05 EPA a carry · 4.6 yds · 127 carries · 16th of 38

Recent Form

Jaguars

  • W33–10at Ravens+13
  • W42–7vs Colts+28
  • L31–34vs Texans−6
  • W19–17vs Eagles−3

Titans

  • L36–43at Bengals+3
  • L24–27vs Browns−1
  • W26–20at Colts+15
  • L3–26vs Texans−17

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.