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What the 49ers Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
>99%
3% likely
One more loss
>99%
10% likely
Two or more
90%
86% likely
Win out and it is in: in the field in >99% of the 342 runs where it won every game left.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at CowboysSun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM ET | 62% | 96% | 83% | >99% |
| vs VikingsSun, Nov 22 | 67% | 98% | 83% | >99% |
| vs SeahawksSun, Nov 29 | 49% | 98% | 85% | >99% |
| at GiantsSun, Dec 6 | 64% | 96% | 82% | – |
| vs RamsSun, Dec 13 | 53% | 98% | 84% | >99% |
| at ChargersThu, Dec 17 | 71% | 95% | 82% | – |
| at ChiefsSun, Dec 27 | 51% | 96% | 86% | >99% |
| vs EaglesSun, Jan 3 | 81% | 96% | 80% | – |
| at CardinalsSun, Jan 10 | 65% | 96% | 80% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the NFC West | 72% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 28% | 68% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Raiders over Seahawks93% if LV wins, 91% if SEA does · LV 24% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET+2pts
Later This Season
- Dolphins over Bears93% if MIA wins, 90% if CHI does · MIA 20% to win · Sun, Dec 13+3pts
- Buccaneers over Rams92% if TB wins, 90% if LAR does · TB 38% to win · Sun, Jan 3+2pts
- Patriots over Vikings92% if NE wins, 90% if MIN does · NE 65% to win · Thu, Dec 10+2pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 91% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 64% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 35% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 18% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 8% |