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Seahawks at Raiders

Week 10 preview

Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 11:46 AM ET

Seahawks5-4
at
Raiders4-5

Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ET · CBS

Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV

Indoors

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Seahawks by 9.2, the book by 6.5 — 2.7 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

On the total, GordStats says 46 to the book's 40.5: a lean to the Over.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

SEA 76%win chanceLV 24%
GordStatsSEA by 9.276% to win · SEA 28–LV 18
DraftKingsSEA -6.5O/U 40.5
ESPNSEA 74%win chance
Watch score54

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Seahawks' big-play defense (2nd) meets Raiders' big-play offense (26th).
  • Raiders' takeaway defense (5th) meets Seahawks' ball security (24th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Seahawks Offense vs Raiders Defense

SEA offLV def
EPA per play
23rd-0.0530th+0.12
Pass EPA
15th+0.1030th+0.28
Run EPA
31st-0.2720th-0.08
Success rate
25th41%31st49%
Explosive plays
22nd7%30th10%
Points per drive
16th2.0231st2.72
Red zone TD
24th52%27th68%
Third downs
20th38%27th46%
Sacks
17th6%17th6%
Turnovers
24th14%5th15%

Seahawks: 33.9 sec a snap (29th fastest) · passes 7% less than expected

Raiders Offense vs Seahawks Defense

LV offSEA def
EPA per play
15th+0.024th-0.12
Pass EPA
11th+0.166th-0.06
Run EPA
29th-0.217th-0.17
Success rate
13th44%2nd38%
Explosive plays
26th7%2nd5%
Points per drive
7th2.493rd1.52
Red zone TD
21st54%29th71%
Third downs
7th45%2nd31%
Sacks
2nd3%13th7%
Turnovers
18th12%16th11%

Raiders: 32.3 sec a snap (18th fastest) · passes 1% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Seahawks

  • QBSam Darnold-0.04 EPA a dropback · CPOE -1.7 · 220 dropbacks · 24th of 31
  • RBEmanuel Wilson-0.22 EPA a carry · 3.2 yds · 85 carries · 34th of 38
  • WRJaxon Smith-Njigba+0.66 EPA a target · 72% caught · 94 targets · 7th in EPA
  • WRCooper Kupp+0.40 EPA a target · 68% caught · 31 targets · 36th in EPA

Raiders

  • QBKirk Cousins+0.17 EPA a dropback · CPOE -0.2 · 289 dropbacks · 11th of 31
  • RBAshton Jeanty-0.25 EPA a carry · 3.3 yds · 99 carries · 36th of 38
  • TEBrock Bowers+0.39 EPA a target · 67% caught · 64 targets · 37th in EPA

Recent Form

Seahawks

  • W17–3vs Cardinals+3
  • L17–34vs Bears−23
  • W20–3vs Chiefs+14
  • L14–17at Broncos−6

Raiders

  • L17–38at 49ers−13
  • W38–33at Jets+6
  • L21–35vs Rams−8
  • L30–33vs Bills+5

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.